Austin II - San Jose Earthquakes II prediction 19 October 2026

The San Jose Earthquakes II vs Austin II prediction for the MLS Next Pro clash on August 3, 2026 is clear: Austin II enters as the strong favorite. According to our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head numbers, Austin II holds a 55% win probability, a draw is at 25%, and San Jose Earthquakes II sits at just 20%. The match kicks off at 02:30 UTC.

Team Form

San Jose Earthquakes II's recent form raises concerns. They have lost three of their last five matches (L, L, L, W, W), including back-to-back home defeats against North Texas SC (0-1) and Tacoma Defiance (0-1). The only bright spot was a 6-1 home win over Sporting Kansas City II on July 8, 2026.

Austin II, on the other hand, has been far more consistent. Their last five results read D, W, L, W, W. A 4-0 away demolition of Vancouver Whitecaps II on July 23 and a solid 2-0 win at Saint Louis II on June 28 highlight their firepower. The single loss came at home against Minnesota United II (2-3).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors the visitors. Austin II have won both previous meetings against San Jose Earthquakes II, both by a 2-0 scoreline in 2023 and a 2-1 away victory on October 5, 2025. There have been no draws in this matchup.

League Table Positions

While San Jose Earthquakes II's exact rank is not available in the current standings data, Austin II sit 3rd in the overall MLS Next Pro table with 42 points from 19 matches (14 wins, 5 losses). They boast the second-best away record in the league: 8 wins and only 1 loss in 9 road games, with a goal difference of +16 (19 scored, 3 conceded).

Win Probability: San Jose Earthquakes II or Austin II?

We calculate a 55% chance of an Austin II win, 25% for a draw, and 20% for a San Jose Earthquakes II victory. The away team's dominant head-to-head record (2 wins from 2), superior form, and excellent away form all point to an away win. Although the lowest odds are offered on a draw (as low as 2.22), Austin II have drawn none of their 9 away league games this season, which makes a stalemate unlikely based on the underlying numbers.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see a tight contest, with the best available odds around 2.88 for a home win, 2.22 for a draw, and 2.23 for an away win. The odds imply the draw is the most probable single outcome, yet our analysis of team form and head-to-head trends suggests otherwise. Based on the stats and Austin II's red-hot away record, the smart money leans toward an away victory.