San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves - CA Huracan Reserves prediction 22 September 2026

This San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves vs CA Huracan Reserves prediction breaks down the Primera B Metropolitana Reserve fixture set for Sep 22, 2026 at 19:00. The bookmakers see a draw as the most likely outcome, but after adjusting for recent form and head-to-head data, CA Huracan Reserves emerge as the slight win favourite with a 35% probability, while a stalemate carries a 37% chance and San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves hold a 28% win probability.

Team Form

San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves arrive in poor shape, managing only one victory in their last five outings:

• Sep 16: Gimnasia La Plata Reserves 2–0 San Lorenzo (L)
• Sep 9: San Lorenzo 0–1 Union Santa Fe Reserves (L)
• Sep 2: Atletico Tucuman Reserves 2–1 San Lorenzo (L)
• Aug 26: San Lorenzo 3–0 Godoy Cruz Reserves (W)
• Aug 20: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves 1–0 San Lorenzo (L)

That lone win – a convincing 3–0 home result against Godoy Cruz – now looks like an outlier, as they have failed to score in three of those five matches.

CA Huracan Reserves, by contrast, show an alternating but more productive pattern:

• Sep 16: Huracan 1–0 Quilmes Reserves (W)
• Sep 10: Estudiantes La Plata Reserves 3–1 Huracan (L)
• Sep 3: Huracan 5–1 Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves (W)
• Aug 25: San Martin de San Juan Reserves 1–0 Huracan (L)
• Aug 19: Huracan 2–0 Independiente Rivadavia Reserves (W)

Three wins in five and two clean sheets highlight their ability to take points when it matters, though the heavy 3–1 away loss to Estudiantes shows vulnerability on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The clubs have met twice in Liga Profesional Reserves competition, with one win apiece:

• Apr 23, 2026: CA Huracan Reserves 0–1 San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves
• Sep 7, 2025: San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves 0–1 CA Huracan Reserves

Remarkably, neither side has won at home; both victories came away. The most recent meeting ended in San Lorenzo’s favour, adding a slight psychological edge, but the sample size is small.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Primera B Metropolitana Reserve standings, indicating a lower‑table battle. San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves do hold the 6th spot in the away standings with a solid 4‑4‑1 record and just 8 goals conceded in 9 away trips – a hint that their true strength may lie on the counter. At home, San Lorenzo’s statistics are not listed among the top 8, and combined with recent home losses, they are struggling to impose themselves in familiar surroundings. CA Huracan Reserves also sit outside the top 12 in all tables, leaving very little to choose between the two on league position alone.

Win Probability: San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves or CA Huracan Reserves?

We derived base probabilities from the available bookmaker odds (2.15‑2.75 home, 1.95‑3.40 draw, 2.88‑4.00 away) and then adjusted them for on‑pitch factors. The final win chances are:

• San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves win: 28%
• Draw: 37%
• CA Huracan Reserves win: 35%

The raw odds pointed strongly towards a draw, and that remains the single most likely outcome at 37%. However, San Lorenzo’s dire recent form (four losses in five) lowered their home‑win probability, while CA Huracan’s more consistent results and the even head‑to‑head record pushed their win chance up to 35%. Home advantage is largely neutralised by San Lorenzo’s poor sequence and the fact that all previous H2H wins have come away. Therefore, CA Huracan Reserves are the slight favourite to take all three points, but a stalemate is still the most probable result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Across three major bookmakers, the odds vary: a home win is offered between 2.15 and 2.75, a draw between 1.95 and 3.40, and an away win from 2.88 to 4.00. The notably low draw quotes (as short as 1.95) confirm that the market expects a tight, low‑scoring contest.

Match prediction: Based on the stats, CA Huracan Reserves hold the edge with a 35% win probability, while a draw is a very real possibility at 37%. San Lorenzo’s lack of cutting edge makes a home win less likely. The safest betting tip is to support the draw or back Huracan to win with a small stake, while the under 2.5 goals market also warrants attention given both teams’ recent scoring struggles.