Cesena Women - San Marino Academy Women prediction 22 August 2026

San Marino Academy Women vs Cesena Women prediction: the Serie B Women clash on March 29, 2026, at 13:00 UK time sees Cesena Women as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability. San Marino have struggled for form, while Cesena have shown better results and hold a perfect head-to-head record.

Team Form

San Marino Academy Women have been in a slump, collecting only three points from their last five Serie B Women matches. Their sequence reads: L, L, W, L, L. The lone victory came on May 3, 2026, when they beat Freedom Women 3-0 at home. The other four outings all ended in defeat: a 4-6 thriller at Venezia Women, a 1-5 home drubbing by Como 1907 Women, a 1-2 loss at Frosinone Women, and a 1-2 home reverse to Trastevere Calcio ASD Women. Across these five games, they shipped 18 goals while scoring 10, indicating severe defensive vulnerabilities. At home, their record is equally concerning: one win and two losses in the last three, with eight goals conceded.

Cesena Women, on the other hand, have shown more consistency. Their last five results are W, W, L, D, L. They started the sequence with a dominant 4-0 home win over Frosinone Women on May 17, 2026, followed by a 3-1 away success at Bologna Women. A 2-5 home loss to Lumezzane Women on May 1 was a setback, but they bounced back with a 2-2 draw at Vicenza Women and then lost narrowly 1-2 at Como 1907 Women. Cesena have scored 12 goals in these five matches, averaging 2.4 per game, though they also conceded 10. Their away form shows one win, one draw, and one loss in the latest three road trips, suggesting they are capable of grinding out results on their travels.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head statistics heavily favor Cesena Women. In the two previous recorded encounters, Cesena won both, scoring four goals and conceding just one. The most recent clash before this season occurred on October 15, 2023, with Cesena earning a 2-0 home victory. The other meeting took place on November 27, 2022, when San Marino Academy Women hosted and lost 1-2. San Marino have failed to beat Cesena in any meeting, and the psychological edge firmly belongs to the away side.

Win Probability: San Marino Academy Women or Cesena Women?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• San Marino Academy Women win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• Cesena Women win: 55%

Cesena’s superior recent form and perfect head-to-head record are the main drivers. Although San Marino enjoy home advantage, their last three home games resulted in one win and two losses, with seven goals conceded. Cesena’s away form (one win, one draw, one loss in the last three on the road) is solid enough to expect them to take all three points. The draw probability is kept at 25% given the unpredictable nature of the league, but the most likely outcome is an away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently available for this fixture, so bookmakers’ assessment cannot be factored in. Our prediction relies solely on the team form and head-to-head statistics. Given San Marino’s defensive frailties and Cesena’s attacking output, we expect Cesena Women to win. A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the visitors looks plausible. If odds become available, backing Cesena to win could offer value, and a correct score bet on 2-0 or 2-1 may be worth considering.