Albania - San Marino prediction 6 October 2026
Albania
San MarinoAlbaniaSan Marino
FinlandAlbaniaSan MarinoAlbaniaAlbaniaBelarusAlgeriaAlbaniaAlbaniaLuxembourgAlbaniaIsraelUkraineAlbaniaPolandAlbaniaAlbaniaJordanGibraltarAlbaniaAlbaniaUkraineAlbaniaCzech RepublicGeorgiaAlbaniaSwedenAlbaniaAlbaniaSan MarinoBelarusSan MarinoSan MarinoAlbaniaSan MarinoFinlandAzerbaijanSan MarinoSan MarinoBangladeshSan MarinoAndorraSan MarinoFaroe IslandsCzech RepublicSan MarinoMaltaSan MarinoLiechtensteinSan MarinoSan MarinoGibraltarAndorraSan MarinoSan MarinoSt. Kitts and NevisSan MarinoSt. Kitts and Nevis- 11A. HoxhaF
- 44A. IsmajliD
- 3S. PiliosM
- 2M. MitajD
- 23K. AsllaniM
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 4E. HysajD
- 98M. DajsinaniG
- 7E. MuรงiF
- 6J. ShehuM
- 9R. ManajF
- 10M. Uzuni
- 19M. Daku
- 20Y. Ramadani
- 9A. Mehmeti
- 15M. Kumbulla
- 9C. Shpendi
- 70L. Hasa
- 5K. Cake
- 1S. Simoni
- 27N. Aliji
- 22A. Taho
- 97T. Seferi
- 8L. CapicchioniM
- 11N. GiacopettiF
- 3S. GiocondiD
- 5M. CevoliD
- 6D. RossiD
- 19S. Pancotti
- 12A. Tosi
- 2G. Benvenuti
- 21L. Lazzari
- 15M. Pasolini
- 7G. Capicchioni
- 17A. Golinucci
- 22M. Mularoni
- 23M. De Angelis
- Nicholas Protti
AlbaniaSan MarinoSan MarinoAlbaniaAlbaniaSan MarinoSan MarinoAlbania| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Albania vs San Marino Prediction (Oct 6)
The Albania vs San Marino prediction for the UEFA Nations League clash on October 6, 2026, points to a dominant home victory. Albania enters the match as the clear favorite with an 88% win probability, while San Marino faces an uphill battle with just a 2% chance of causing an upset.
Team Form
Albania
Albania's recent form has been mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings (L, W, W, L, L). They suffered a 2-1 defeat to Finland on October 3, but previously secured a convincing 3-0 win over San Marino on September 29 and a 2-0 victory against Belarus on September 26. Losses to Algeria (2-0) and Luxembourg (1-0) in friendlies show some inconsistency, but against weaker opposition they have been ruthless.
San Marino
San Marino have lost all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L). They were beaten 4-0 by Belarus on October 3, 3-0 by Albania on September 29, and suffered a heavy 7-0 defeat to Finland on September 26. Friendly losses to Azerbaijan (2-1) and Bangladesh (2-1) further underline their struggles. They have conceded 17 goals in these five games, scoring just twice.
Head-to-Head Record
Albania have a perfect record against San Marino, winning all three previous meetings with an aggregate score of 10-0. The most recent encounter was a 3-0 away win for Albania in the UEFA Nations League on September 29, 2026. Earlier, Albania won 5-0 at home in a World Cup qualifier in September 2021, and 2-0 away in March 2021. San Marino have never scored against Albania.
League Table Positions
The provided standings data does not include Albania or San Marino in the top ranks, so a direct positional comparison is unavailable. However, based on their form and head-to-head dominance, Albania are clearly the superior side in this fixture.
Win Probability: Albania or San Marino?
After analyzing the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
- Albania win: 88%
- Draw: 10%
- San Marino win: 2%
The bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability of around 80%, but Albania's historical dominance and San Marino's ongoing losing streak push that figure even higher. San Marino have never taken a point off Albania, and their defensive frailties make an away win extremely unlikely.
Odds & Albania vs San Marino Prediction
The best available odds for an Albania victory are as low as 1.03, with some bookmakers offering 1.17. The draw is priced around 4.80 to 5.90, and a San Marino win can be backed at massive odds of 21.00 to 51.00. These odds reflect the huge gulf between the teams.
Our prediction: Based on the stats, Albania are expected to win comfortably. A correct score bet on a 3-0 or 4-0 home win could offer value, given San Marino's defensive record. The match will be played at the Stade de France in Paris, a neutral venue with a capacity of 81,338, and officiated by referee Mehmet Turkmen.
Albania vs San Marino โ FAQ
- Who will win Albania vs San Marino?
- Albania are overwhelming favorites with an 88% win probability. The draw has a 10% chance, and San Marino have just a 2% chance of winning.
- What is the win probability for Albania?
- Albania's win probability is 88%, based on odds, recent form, and a perfect head-to-head record against San Marino.
- When is the Albania vs San Marino match?
- The match kicks off on October 6, 2026, at 19:45 local time, and is part of the UEFA Nations League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds as low as 1.03 for an Albania win, around 4.80โ5.90 for the draw, and between 21.00 and 51.00 for a San Marino victory.
- What is the head-to-head record between Albania and San Marino?
- Albania have won all three previous meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding none. The last match ended 3-0 to Albania on September 29, 2026.