San Martin de San Juan Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves prediction 14 October 2026

The San Martin de San Juan Reserves vs Deportivo Riestra Reserves prediction for October 14, 2026, points to an away victory. This Liga Profesional Reserves clash kicks off at 19:00, and based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and available odds, Deportivo Riestra Reserves enters as the clear favorite with a calculated win probability of 60%. San Martin de San Juan Reserves, struggling at the bottom of the form table, has just a 20% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 20%.

Team Form

San Martin de San Juan Reserves are in a deep crisis. Their last five matches show four losses and one draw (L, L, L, L, D). They have conceded 10 goals in these five games, including a 4-0 defeat at Newells Old Boys Reserves and a 3-2 loss at CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve. The only point came from a 1-1 home draw against Defensa y Justicia Reserves on September 9.

Deportivo Riestra Reserves, in contrast, are flying high with four wins in their last five outings (W, W, W, L, W). They have scored 12 goals in this period, netting three or more in three of those victories. Their only blip was a 2-1 away loss at CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve on September 17. Recent home wins include a 3-1 triumph over Independiente Rivadavia Reserves and a 4-1 thrashing of CA Lanus Reserves.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in the Liga Profesional Reserves. The head-to-head record favors San Martin de San Juan Reserves with 1 win and 1 draw; Deportivo Riestra Reserves are yet to win this fixture. The most recent encounter, on May 14, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw at Deportivo Riestra Reserves. The earlier match, on July 24, 2025, saw San Martin de San Juan Reserves secure a 1-0 home victory.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall league standings provided. The table is led by Velez Sarsfield Reserves with 47 points from 20 games. While exact positions for San Martin de San Juan Reserves and Deportivo Riestra Reserves are missing, the form data strongly suggests the visitors are in a much healthier league position and challenging higher up the table, while the home side is likely near the bottom.

Win Probability: San Martin de San Juan Reserves or Deportivo Riestra Reserves?

San Martin de San Juan Reserves has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Deportivo Riestra Reserves has a 60% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 5.10, draw 4.20, away 1.50) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for the contrasting form. The away team's four wins in five games heavily outweigh the home side's four losses in five. Despite San Martin's unbeaten H2H record, current momentum makes Deportivo Riestra Reserves the overwhelming favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Deportivo Riestra Reserves as the strong favorite. The best odds available show the away win as low as 1.50, the draw at 4.20, and a home win for San Martin de San Juan Reserves at a high of 5.10. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away win for Deportivo Riestra Reserves. Their potent attack, averaging over two goals per game in recent matches, should be too strong for a leaky home defense that has conceded in every recent fixture.