Central Norte Argentino vs San Martin Margarita Belen prediction for the Regional League match on Oct 8, 2026. Central Norte Argentino are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while San Martin Margarita Belen have a 28% chance. The match kicks off at 01:00 local time in Argentina.
Central Norte Argentino are in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They beat Don Orione 1-0, Parque Patricios 2-1 (away), CA Bancarios 2-1, and Comercio Resistencia 4-0, while drawing 1-1 at home against San Martin Margarita Belen. They have scored 10 goals and conceded just 3 in these five games.
San Martin Margarita Belen have three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They recorded a massive 6-0 home win over Deportivo Policiales, away wins at Villa Alvear (2-0) and Comercio Resistencia (3-2), a 1-1 draw at Central Norte, and a 2-3 home loss to Estudiantes Resistencia Chaco. Their attack has been potent, but they have kept only one clean sheet in this run.
These two sides have met twice in recent Regional League history, both times at Central Norte Argentino's ground. The home side won 1-0 in July 2025, and the most recent clash on July 12, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw. Central Norte Argentino remain unbeaten in this fixture (1 win, 1 draw).
Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities:
The bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability of around 43%, but Central Norte's strong home form (unbeaten in five) and historical edge push their chances slightly higher. San Martin Margarita Belen are dangerous on the road, but their away loss to Estudiantes Resistencia Chaco and the draw in this fixture suggest they may struggle to take all three points.
The current 1X2 odds are: Central Norte Argentino 2.05, Draw 3.20, San Martin Margarita Belen 3.10. Bookmakers see the home side as the clear favorite. Our prediction: Central Norte Argentino are the most likely winners, but the draw odds offer value given the recent 1-1 stalemate. A low-scoring match could be on the cards, with both teams likely to score.