Sanatatea Cluj - FCM Baia Mare prediction 22 September 2026

This Sanatatea Cluj vs FCM Baia Mare prediction covers the Liga III match in Romania on Sep 22, 2026 at 15:00 (+01:00). Based on the stats, FCM Baia Mare are the favorite with a 44% win probability, Sanatatea Cluj have 26%, and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Sanatatea Cluj

Sanatatea Cluj's recent form has been inconsistent: D, W, L, D, L in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 at home against Sighetu Marmatiei on Sep 11 and won 5-0 at home against ACS Academica Transilvania Tg-Mures on Aug 28. However, they lost 0-1 away to Acs Cil Blaj in the Cup on Aug 12, drew 2-2 at home against Unirea Alba Iulia in the Cup on Aug 5, and lost 0-1 away to Unirea Alba Iulia on May 23.

FCM Baia Mare

FCM Baia Mare have posted W, L, W, L, W in their last five. They won 5-1 at home against Unirea Dej on Sep 19, lost 0-1 away to Crisul Santandrei on Sep 12, won 2-1 away at Sighetu Marmatiei on Aug 29, lost 2-3 at home to Corvinul Hunedoara in the Cup on Aug 19, and beat CSM Olimpia Satu Mare 5-0 at home in the Cup on Aug 12.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors FCM Baia Mare. In their last 11 meetings, FCM Baia Mare have won 8 times, Sanatatea Cluj 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent H2H match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 0-0 in Liga III. Before that, FCM Baia Mare won 1-0 on Oct 18, 2025 and 2-0 on Mar 22, 2024. Sanatatea Cluj's wins in this fixture are rare, with only 2 victories across the last 11 meetings.

Key H2H results:

• Mar 13, 2026: Sanatatea Cluj 0-0 FCM Baia Mare
• Oct 18, 2025: FCM Baia Mare 1-0 Sanatatea Cluj
• Mar 22, 2024: FCM Baia Mare 2-0 Sanatatea Cluj
• Oct 20, 2023: Sanatatea Cluj 0-2 FCM Baia Mare

League Table Positions

Sanatatea Cluj are 10th in the overall Liga III table with 13 points from 8 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 11 goals scored and 7 conceded. FCM Baia Mare's current league position is not listed in the available standings data, but their consistent away wins and dominant H2H record indicate they are a strong side at this level.

Win Probability: Sanatatea Cluj or FCM Baia Mare?

The win probability calculation combines bookmaker odds, current form, head-to-head record, league table position, and home advantage. The total probability adds up to 100%:

• Sanatatea Cluj win: 26%
• Draw: 30%
• FCM Baia Mare win: 44%

FCM Baia Mare get the edge because they have won 8 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings and have a better recent form pattern (three wins in the last five). Sanatatea Cluj are at home, but their last five home/away results include only one league win and two draws, which limits their chance. Therefore, FCM Baia Mare are the more likely winner in this Sanatatea Cluj vs FCM Baia Mare prediction.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see a close contest. One bookmaker lists Sanatatea Cluj at 3.00, the draw at 2.30, and FCM Baia Mare at 2.80. Another set shows 3.25 for Sanatatea Cluj, 2.25 for the draw, and 2.75 for FCM Baia Mare. A third set offers 2.65 for Sanatatea Cluj, 3.35 for the draw, and 2.25 for FCM Baia Mare. These odds imply FCM Baia Mare are slightly favored, but the draw is a real possibility.

Final prediction: based on the stats, FCM Baia Mare to win is the best betting tip. The outcome probabilities are 44% for FCM Baia Mare, 30% for the draw, and 26% for Sanatatea Cluj. A draw is also plausible, so backing FCM Baia Mare with a draw no bet or double chance could be a safer option.