Rekord Bielsko-Biala - Sandecja Nowy Sacz prediction 9 October 2026

The Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz prediction for the II Liga match on Oct 9, 2026 points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis of form, head-to-head, and bookmaker odds, the home side holds a slight advantage with a 38% win probability, while the draw is at 30% and an away victory stands at 32%.

Team Form

Rekord Bielsko-Biala’s last five results read L, W, W, W, L. Despite that mixed run, their home performances have been strong this season – they have won three of four league games at this venue, scoring 10 and conceding only 3. Their only home defeat came in a 1-0 loss to Gornik Leczna, but they bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 3-0 demolition of Swit Skolwin Szczecin.

Sandecja Nowy Sacz come into this with form of L, D, W, L, L. Away from home, they have struggled: a 0-0 draw at GKS Tychy was a bright spot, but away losses to Podhale Nowy Targ (1-2) and a cup exit to Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska (2-3) highlight defensive frailties. Overall, Sandecja have claimed only 7 points from 5 away trips, scoring 5 and conceding 5.

Head-to-Head Record

Sandecja Nowy Sacz have the psychological edge in this fixture, having never lost to Rekord Bielsko-Biala in three previous meetings (2 wins, 1 draw). The most recent clash on Aug 5, 2026 saw Sandecja cruise to a 3-0 home victory. Earlier this year, they drew 1-1 at this same ground, and in August 2025 Sandecja won 1-0 at home. That record shows Sandecja know how to get a result against Rekord.

League Table Positions

In the II Liga standings, both teams are locked in the upper half. Rekord Bielsko-Biala sit 6th with 16 points from 10 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Sandecja Nowy Sacz are 9th on 15 points (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). At home, Rekord rank 6th with 9 points from 4 games, while Sandecja’s away form places them 7th with 7 points from 5 outings. The narrow gap underlines how competitive this match is likely to be.

Win Probability: Rekord Bielsko-Biala or Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

After combining bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head trends, and home/away records, we calculate the following probabilities:

• Rekord Bielsko-Biala win: 38%
• Draw: 30%
• Sandecja Nowy Sacz win: 32%

Rekord’s excellent home numbers (3W, 0D, 1L) and Sandecja’s dip in away results tip the scales slightly toward a home victory. However, the H2H record and the overall balance of the sides prevent a clear favorite. The match is expected to be close, with a draw remaining a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers mirror the uncertainty. The best available odds for a Rekord Bielsko-Biala win sit at 2.90, implying an unadjusted probability of about 34%. A draw is offered as low as 2.22, while Sandecja Nowy Sacz can be backed at up to 2.50. One bookmaker even prices Sandecja as short as 2.08, suggesting they view them as marginal favorites. Taking everything into account – Rekord’s home strength, Sandecja’s poor recent away form, but the latter’s H2H edge – our match prediction is a narrow home win or a score draw, with Rekord Bielsko-Biala the slightly more likely side to come away with three points.