Brumunddal - Sandefjord II prediction 21 September 2026

Our Sandefjord II vs Brumunddal prediction for the 3rd Division match on September 21, 2026 is that Sandefjord II is the strong favorite with a 71% win probability. Bookmakers’ odds heavily back the away side, while struggling Brumunddal appear unlikely to cause an upset.

Team Form

Brumunddal are in terrible form, with their last five matches reading D, L, L, L, L. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at home to Elverum on September 5. Prior to that they suffered four straight defeats: 0-5 away to Gjovik-Lyn on September 1, another 0-5 loss at Gjovik-Lyn on August 28, a 2-4 home defeat to Raelingen on August 15, and an 11-0 thrashing at Sarpsborg 08 II on August 9. They have scored just three goals in that run while conceding 27.

Sandefjord II’s last five results are D, W, L, L, L. They drew 1-1 at home with Orn Horten on September 12, beat Oppsal 2-1 at home on September 5, then lost 4-3 at Lyn 2 on August 31, 1-0 at Drobak/Frogn on August 10, and 3-1 at home to Gjovik-Lyn on August 1. Their away form specifically has been poor, with defeats in their last two road games.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between Sandefjord II and Brumunddal took place on June 21, 2026, in the same 3rd Division. That match, played at Sandefjord II’s ground, ended in a 2-2 draw. Neither side has ever beaten the other.

League Table Positions

Neither Brumunddal nor Sandefjord II feature in the top 12 of the 3rd Division overall standings. The table is led by Asker with 52 points from 19 games. With no direct ranking for these two teams available, both are likely in the lower reaches of the division.

Win Probability: Sandefjord II or Brumunddal?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record and home advantage, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Sandefjord II has a 71% chance of winning, a draw is 17%, and Brumunddal has a 12% chance. The odds imply a dominant away favorite: averaging the six bookmakers shown, the inverse normalised probabilities are 71.1% for an away win, 16.8% for the draw, and 12.1% for a home win. Brumunddal’s shocking recent form (four heavy defeats in five) and Sandefjord II’s slightly better but still inconsistent run mean the away side is the clear pick. Home advantage does little to offset Brumunddal’s defensive frailties.

Sandefjord II vs Brumunddal Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds show Sandefjord II as the overwhelming favourite. Average prices across the six listed bookmakers are: Brumunddal win 7.81, draw 5.59, Sandefjord II win 1.32. The best away odds are 1.44, the best draw 9.33, and the best home win 8.69 (not that these outliers represent the widest possible ranges). Bookmakers see Sandefjord II as the hot favourite, and all the stats point to an away victory. Our final prediction is a Sandefjord II win, with little value in opposing the market. The match is likely to be low-scoring given both sides’ struggles, but Sandefjord II should have enough quality to secure the three points.