Sandefjord II - Sarpsborg 08 II prediction 26 October 2026
Sandefjord II
Sarpsborg 08 IISandefjord IISarpsborg 08 II
LillehammerSandefjord IISandefjord IIRadeSandefjord IIElverumBrumunddalSandefjord IISandefjord IIOrn HortenSandefjord IIOppsalLyn 1896 FK IISandefjord IIDrobak/FrognSandefjord IISandefjord IIGjovik-LynElverumSandefjord IIOrn HortenSandefjord IISandefjord IIBrumunddalOppsalSandefjord IIBjoerkelangenSandefjord IISandefjord IISarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IIRaelingenDrobak/FrognSarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IIGjovik-LynLyn 1896 FK IISarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IILillehammerOrn HortenSarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IIRadeIF Fram LarvikSarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IIBrumunddalOppsalSarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IIOrn HortenBjoerkelangenSarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IIIF Fram LarvikSarpsborg 08 IIOppsalSandefjord IISarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 IISandefjord II| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Asker | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 89:36 | +53 | 67 |
| 2 |  Heming | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 66:40 | +26 | 50 |
| 3 |  Gamle Oslo FK | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 73:46 | +27 | 45 |
| 4 |  Ready | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 63:48 | +15 | 42 |
| 5 |  Valerenga 2 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 54:63 | -9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Baerum | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 68:48 | +20 | 39 |
| 7 |  Union Carl Berner | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 45:41 | +4 | 38 |
| 8 |  Frigg | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 53:62 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Oslo | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 48:72 | -24 | 29 |
| 10 |  Kfum 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 51:64 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 |  Grei | 25 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 48:73 | -25 | 28 |
| 12 |  Ullern | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 49:62 | -13 | 26 |
| 13 |  Nordstrand | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 36:60 | -24 | 20 |
| 14 |  Konnerud | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 40:68 | -28 | 17 |
Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II Prediction (Oct 26)
The Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II prediction for October 26, 2026, in Norway's 3rd Division sees the hosts as narrow favourites. Our analysis based on odds, form, and head-to-head data gives Sandefjord II a 40% win probability, with the draw at 28% and Sarpsborg 08 II at 32%.
Team Form
Sandefjord II have been inconsistent in their last five outings: two wins, one draw, and two defeats (W-W-D-L-L). Most recently they suffered heavy defeats โ 5-0 at Lillehammer and a 0-2 home loss to Rade. Earlier victories included a 4-3 home win over Elverum and a 2-1 away success at Brumunddal, plus a 1-1 draw with Orn Horten. Their defence has conceded seven times in the last two games, a worrying sign.
Sarpsborg 08 II bring steadier form patterns with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in the same period (W-D-W-L-D). They drew 1-1 at home with Raelingen, lost 4-1 away at Drobak/Frogn, then beat Gjovik-Lyn 3-2 at home. On the road, aside from the heavy loss, they drew 2-2 at Lyn 1896 FK II and earlier beat Lillehammer 3-1 at home. Their away performances remain mixed, but they have only one loss in five games overall.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before. On April 12, 2026, Sarpsborg 08 II hosted Sandefjord II, with the visitors winning 3-2. That sole encounter gives Sandefjord II a perfect head-to-head record and a psychological edge going into this fixture.
League Table Positions
Neither Sandefjord II nor Sarpsborg 08 II appear in the top eight of the latest 3rd Division standings, either overall, at home, or away. The provided league data only lists the leading clubs, indicating both sides reside in the lower half of the table. This contest is between two mid- to lower-tier teams, which aligns with the relatively even odds.
Win Probability: Sandefjord II or Sarpsborg 08 II?
Using normalized implied probabilities from the average match odds (home 2.15, draw 3.38, away 2.65) and adjusting for current form and head-to-head, the calculated outcome chances are:
- Sandefjord II win: 40%
- Draw: 28%
- Sarpsborg 08 II win: 32%
Home advantage and the single head-to-head victory favour the hosts, but Sandefjord II's two recent defeats introduce doubt. Sarpsborg 08 II's form (only one loss in five) keeps them highly competitive. The probabilities reflect a match where the favourite's edge is slim and a draw is a realistic outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Sandefjord II as the narrow favourite. The aggregated 1X2 odds from multiple books are 2.15 for a home win, 3.38 for a draw, and 2.65 for an away win. These odds translate to a tight contest. Based on the stats, the most likely scenario is a cautious home win or a draw. Sandefjord II's historical edge and the vocal home crowd may just tip the balance, but Sarpsborg 08 II have enough quality to pull off a result. Our prediction is a draw-no-bet on the home side, with the draw a strong secondary consideration.
Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II โ FAQ
- Who will win Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II?
- Sandefjord II has a 40% chance of winning, making them the favourite, but the match is very open. Sarpsborg 08 II has a 32% win probability, while the draw stands at 28%. Based on the numbers, a home win is the single most likely result, but the margin is slim.
- What is the win probability for Sandefjord II?
- Sandefjord II has a calculated 40% win probability. This percentage is derived from average betting odds (home 2.15) and adjusted for the team's recent form and a head-to-head victory in their only previous meeting.
- When is the Sandefjord II vs Sarpsborg 08 II match?
- The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 local time. It is part of the Norway 3rd Division competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The average bookmaker odds for the full-time result are 2.15 for a Sandefjord II win, 3.38 for a draw, and 2.65 for a Sarpsborg 08 II win. These odds reflect a closely contested fixture with a slight home bias.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sandefjord II and Sarpsborg 08 II?
- The teams have faced each other once, on April 12, 2026, when Sandefjord II won 3-2 away at Sarpsborg 08 II. Sandefjord II therefore leads the head-to-head 1-0.