Sandnes Ulf - Lyn prediction 25 October 2026

Sandnes Ulf vs Lyn prediction for the 1 Division match on Oct 25, 2026, at 13:30. Based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Sandnes Ulf has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 34%, and Lyn has a 28% chance. The home side enters as a slight favorite, but both teams are struggling in the Norwegian second tier.

Team Form

Sandnes Ulf are in poor shape with no wins in their last five matches (0W-2D-3L). They suffered heavy defeats against Kongsvinger (4-0) and Stabaek (4-1), managed draws with Haugesund (1-1) and Strommen (3-3), and lost at home to Moss (1-2). Defensive issues are evident, conceding 14 goals in these five games.

Lyn have also struggled, recording just one win in their last five (1W-0D-4L). That lone victory was a 1-0 home success over Moss on Oct 18. Otherwise, they lost to Haugesund (3-0), Stromsgodset (5-1), Bryne (1-0), and Ranheim (4-1). Like their opponents, Lyn have leaked goals, conceding 13 times in this period.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in recent 1 Division history, with one win each. On Apr 20, 2026, Sandnes Ulf won 2-0 away at Lyn. Earlier, on Oct 21, 2024, Lyn triumphed 1-0 at Sandnes Ulf. The head-to-head record stands at 1 home win, 0 draws, and 1 away win, indicating a balanced rivalry with no clear dominance.

League Table Positions

Lyn sit 11th in the 1 Division table with 31 points from 27 matches (9 wins, 4 draws, 14 losses). They have scored 41 goals and conceded 57. Sandnes Ulf are outside the top 12, which suggests they are in the relegation zone or lower mid-table. The exact position is not available, but the gap in points and standing gives Lyn a slight edge in terms of league performance this season.

Win Probability: Sandnes Ulf or Lyn?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the implied probabilities are: Sandnes Ulf win 38%, draw 34%, Lyn win 28%. These figures are adjusted slightly from the raw odds (average home 2.23, draw 2.48, away 2.99) to account for the overround. The home advantage and the odds favor Sandnes Ulf, but their recent form and lower league position reduce confidence. Lyn’s away record is poor, yet they have a recent win and a slightly better league standing. Overall, Sandnes Ulf has the highest probability, but the match is likely to be closely contested, with a draw being a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home win around 2.20–2.25, draw 2.45–2.50, away win 2.80–3.20. These odds reflect Sandnes Ulf as the marginal favorite. Considering the stats, both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities, and the balanced head-to-head, a draw seems a strong possibility. Our prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win. Based on the numbers, Sandnes Ulf has the edge, but betting tips would point to the draw as value given the form of both sides.