Stabaek - Sandnes Ulf prediction 14 October 2026

This Sandnes Ulf vs Stabaek prediction for the Norway 1 Division match on Oct 14, 2026, at 18:00 BST points to a home win. Based on the odds, recent form, and league table, Stabaek has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Sandnes Ulf holds only a 20% probability.

Team Form

Stabaek's last five results read D, L, W, D, L. The most recent outing was a 2-2 home draw with Strommen on Oct 11, preceded by a 2-0 away loss at Haugesund and a 2-1 home win over Sogndal. That one victory in five underlines a patchy spell, though the side still managed two draws.

Sandnes Ulf's form string is D, D, L, W, L. They drew 1-1 at home to Haugesund and 3-3 away at Strommen, followed defeats at Stromsgodset (4-1) and Moss (2-1) either side of a cup win at Arendal. Both teams have taken just one win from their last five, so recent momentum is similar.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides are evenly split: Stabaek won 1-0 at Sandnes Ulf in May 2026, the teams drew 2-2 at Sandnes Ulf in October 2022, and Sandnes Ulf won 1-0 at Stabaek in April 2022. Overall, each has one victory and one draw. No clear head-to-head edge exists, though the most recent encounter went Stabaek’s way.

League Table Positions

Stabaek sit 4th in the 1 Division with 46 points from 25 games (14 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses). Their home record is especially strong: 9 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 12 outings, earning 28 points and a goal difference of +19. Sandnes Ulf does not appear in the top 12 of the overall table and are not listed in the home or away top eight, suggesting a much lower standing and a difficult campaign.

Win Probability: Sandnes Ulf or Stabaek?

We calculate Stabaek win probability at 55%, the draw at 25%, and Sandnes Ulf win probability at 20%. The odds imply Stabaek are clear favourites, and their home form (only two defeats all season) heavily tips the scale. Sandnes Ulf’s absence from any table top echelon and their modest away form reduce their chances. The head-to-head record does not offset the gulf in league position, so Stabaek are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds show Stabaek at around 1.73, the draw at 2.88, and Sandnes Ulf at 4.80. These numbers reinforce the favourite status of the home side. Based on the stats, team form, and league positions, our Sandnes Ulf vs Stabaek prediction is a home win; Stabaek should have enough quality, especially at home, to secure the three points.