Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction 11 October 2026
Tokyo Verdy
Sanfrecce HiroshimaTokyo Verdy
Avispa FukuokaYokohama F MarinosTokyo VerdyTokyo VerdyTokyoTokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaSagan TosuTokyo VerdyUrawa Red DiamondsTokyo VerdyTokyo VerdyJEF United Ichihara ChibaReilac Shiga FCTokyo VerdyCerezo OsakaTokyo VerdyTokyo VerdyVissel KobeTokyo VerdyKashima AntlersFagiano OkayamaTokyo VerdyTokyo VerdyKashiwa ReysolTokyo VerdyKawasaki FrontaleTokyo VerdyGamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaShimizu S-PulseV-Varen NagasakiSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sangyo UniversityMatsumoto YamagaSanfrecce HiroshimaTokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaTochigi CitySanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaBaleine ShimonosekiAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce HiroshimaVariamore AkiSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo OsakaFagiano OkayamaSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya GrampusGamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki FrontaleUrawa Red DiamondsSanfrecce HiroshimaTokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaTokyo VerdySanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce HiroshimaTokyo Verdy| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima Antlers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa Red Diamonds | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-Pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |  V-Varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sangyo University | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 6 |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction (Oct 11)
The high-flying Sanfrecce Hiroshima travel to Ajinomoto Stadium to face a struggling Tokyo Verdy in the J League on October 11, 2026, at 07:00. Based on current form and head-to-head dominance, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are strong favorites with a 68% win probability in this Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction.
Team Form
Tokyo Verdy's recent form is a major concern. They have won only once in their last five matches across all competitions (1W, 3D, 1L). Most recently, they drew 1โ1 away at Sagan Tosu in the League Cup. Their last J League outing ended in a 3โ1 defeat to Urawa Red Diamonds.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, in stark contrast, are in impeccable form with five consecutive wins. This run includes a dominant 6โ1 thrashing of Cerezo Osaka and a solid 1โ0 victory at Avispa Fukuoka in the league. They have scored 14 goals in these five matches, showcasing devastating attacking power.
Head-to-Head Record
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a perfect historical record against Tokyo Verdy in the J League, winning both previous encounters. The most recent clash on August 23, 2025, saw Sanfrecce secure a comfortable 3โ0 away win. Earlier, on May 17, 2025, they won 2โ1 at home. With zero wins and two defeats, Tokyo Verdy are yet to find an answer to this opponent.
League Table Positions
The standings further highlight the gulf in class. Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 5th in the overall table with 17 points from 8 matches (5W, 2D, 1L), just 4 points behind the leaders with a game in hand. Tokyo Verdy are not listed in the top 12, indicating they are significantly lower down the table. Sanfrecce boast the third-best away record in the division, with 7 points from 4 games.
Win Probability: Tokyo Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Calculating from the latest bookmaker odds (inverse of 5.25, 2.37, 1.68), removing the margin, and adjusting for Sanfrecce's perfect head-to-head record and five-match winning streak against Tokyo Verdy's poor form, the win probabilities are clear. Tokyo Verdy has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 17%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima has a 68% chance. Sanfrecce are the overwhelming favorites to claim all three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers reflect the visiting side's superiority. The best available odds for this J League match are 1.40 for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, while a home victory for Tokyo Verdy can be backed as high as 7.67. Based on the stats, Sanfrecce Hiroshima's relentless form and historical dominance make an away win the most logical outcome. Our Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction is a victory for the visitors.
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima โ FAQ
- Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the clear favorites to win. Based on our probability analysis, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 68% chance of winning, while Tokyo Verdy have just a 15% chance, and a draw is at 17%.
- What is the win probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 68% chance of winning the match. This high probability is justified by their five-game winning streak, a perfect head-to-head record of two wins over Tokyo Verdy, and a much higher league position.
- When is the Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima match?
- The match is scheduled for October 11, 2026, with a kick-off time of 07:00 local time. It is a J League fixture hosted at Ajinomoto Stadium in Chลfu.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers' odds vary, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima heavily favored. You can find odds as low as 1.40 for an away win, 2.38 for a draw, and as high as 7.67 for a Tokyo Verdy home victory.