Casa Pia - Santa Clara prediction 10 October 2026
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Estrela AmadoraCasa PiaAlpendoradaCasa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraEstoril PraiaCasa PiaCasa PiaFC PortoVitoria GuimaraesCasa PiaCasa PiaMoreirenseGil VicenteCasa PiaCasa PiaBenficaMaritimoCasa PiaLeixoesCasa PiaCB FeirenseCasa PiaCasa PiaSCU TorreenseSCU TorreenseCasa PiaCasa PiaRio AveSanta ClaraBenficaMafraSanta ClaraCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta ClaraBragaAroucaSanta ClaraSanta ClaraRio AveAlvercaSanta ClaraSanta ClaraFamalicaoAcademico ViseuSanta ClaraSanta ClaraNacional MadeiraAroucaSanta ClaraMoreirenseSanta ClaraFC PortoSanta ClaraSanta ClaraNacional MadeiraAroucaSanta ClaraCasa PiaSanta ClaraCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta ClaraCasa PiaSanta ClaraCasa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraSanta ClaraCasa PiaSanta ClaraCasa Pia| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction (Oct 10)
For the Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction on October 10, 2026, in the Primeira Liga, visitors Santa Clara enter as the clear favorite. Based on odds, recent form, and league standings, Santa Clara holds a 48% win probability, while a draw is at 30% and Casa Pia has a 22% chance of winning at Estรกdio Pina Manique.
Team Form
Casa Pia come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results read W, L, D, L, L. They have lost three of those five, including a 0-1 home defeat to Moreirense and a heavy 1-4 loss at home to FC Porto. Their only win in the period came away at Estoril Praia (2-1). At home, they have failed to score in two of their last three.
Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches (D, W, W, D, W). Away from home they have been particularly solid: a 2-1 win at Arouca and a 1-1 draw at Alverca show their resilience. With four clean sheets in those five outings, they travel to Lisbon full of confidence.
Head-to-Head Record
The last six meetings between these sides have been tightly contested: Casa Pia have won once, Santa Clara have claimed two victories, and three matches have ended in draws. The most recent clash, in April 2026, finished 0-0 at this venue. Santa Clara have won the two previous encounters before that (1-0 and 2-1), meaning they have not lost to Casa Pia in the last three head-to-heads.
- Apr 18, 2026: Casa Pia 0โ0 Santa Clara
- Dec 6, 2025: Santa Clara 1โ0 Casa Pia
- Feb 1, 2025: Santa Clara 2โ1 Casa Pia
- Jan 29, 2023: Casa Pia 2โ1 Santa Clara
- Aug 7, 2022: Santa Clara 0โ0 Casa Pia
League Table Positions
Santa Clara sit 4th in the Primeira Liga table with 15 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), and are one of only two unbeaten sides in the league. They boast the joint-best defensive record outside the top two. Casa Pia, by contrast, are outside the top 12 and have struggled for consistency all season. The gap in quality is further underlined by Santa Claraโs away record: 7 points from 3 away games (2 wins, 1 draw).
Win Probability: Casa Pia or Santa Clara?
After normalising the latest 1X2 odds and adjusting for current form, head-to-head trend, and league standings, the outcome probabilities are:
- Casa Pia win: 22%
- Draw: 30%
- Santa Clara win: 48%
Santa Claraโs superior form and defensive solidity make them the more likely winners. A draw is the next most probable result, while a home victory would be a considerable upset given Casa Piaโs recent struggles.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers across the market see a similar picture. The best available odds for this fixture include:
- Casa Pia home win: 4.85
- Draw: 3.44
- Santa Clara away win: 1.91
The odds imply a clear bias towards the visitors. Based on the stats, Santa Clara are expected to avoid defeat and leave with all three points, but the draw cannot be ruled out fully given the history of tight encounters between the two clubs. The likeliest outcome is a narrow away victory.
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara โ FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
- Based on current form, league positions, and head-to-head data, Santa Clara have a 48% chance of winning, a draw has a 30% probability, and Casa Pia a 22% chance. The visitors are the clear favorite to take the three points.
- What is the win probability for Santa Clara?
- Santa Clara have a 48% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds (where they are priced as short as 1.91) and reinforced by their unbeaten start to the Primeira Liga (4 wins, 3 draws) and a strong away record.
- When is the Casa Pia vs Santa Clara match?
- The match kicks off at 20:30 local time on October 10, 2026. It is a Primeira Liga fixture hosted at Estรกdio Pina Manique in Lisbon, Portugal.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds across major bookmakers are around 4.85 for a Casa Pia win, 3.44 for the draw, and 1.91 for a Santa Clara win. Odds can vary slightly depending on the bookmaker.
- What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and Santa Clara?
- In the last six meetings, Casa Pia have 1 win, Santa Clara have 2 wins, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent match, played in April 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate in Lisbon.