Asociacion Deportiva Rosario - PFA Santa Cruz prediction 18 October 2026

The PFA Santa Cruz vs Asociacion Deportiva Rosario prediction for August 30, 2026, points to a tight Liga de Ascenso clash in Costa Rica. Based on the latest odds and team form, PFA Santa Cruz enters as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while the draw stands at 25% and Asociacion Deportiva Rosario has a 35% chance. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time.

Team Form

PFA Santa Cruz's recent form is concerning. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L,L,L,D,W). They suffered heavy defeats on the road, including a 4-1 loss to ADR Jicaral on August 23, a 4-0 loss to Quepos Cambute on August 2, and a 4-1 loss to CD Escorpiones Belen back in April. Their only positive result in that stretch was a 2-1 away win against Deportivo Upala in March. At home, they managed a 1-1 draw with CD Escorpiones Belen on April 18.

Asociacion Deportiva Rosario has also struggled, with one win and four losses in their last five (W,L,L,L,L). They secured a 3-2 home victory over Municipal Grecia on August 23, but lost away to Quepos Cambute (2-1) and at home to ADR Jicaral (1-0). A 6-0 friendly defeat to Deportivo Saprissa and a 3-1 cup loss to ADR Jicaral further highlight their defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between PFA Santa Cruz and Asociacion Deportiva Rosario. This will be their first meeting, making form and league standings the primary indicators for this prediction.

League Table Positions

In the Liga de Ascenso overall standings, PFA Santa Cruz (listed as Santa Cruz PE) sits 11th with 3 points from 4 matches, having scored 5 goals and conceded 11. Their home record is slightly better: 8th in the home table with 3 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 loss). Asociacion Deportiva Rosario does not appear in the current league table, so a direct comparison is unavailable. However, the home side's low position suggests they are under pressure to improve.

Win Probability: PFA Santa Cruz or Asociacion Deportiva Rosario?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• PFA Santa Cruz win: 40%
• Draw: 25%
• Asociacion Deportiva Rosario win: 35%

The bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.25, draw 3.60, away 2.55) imply a 39.9% chance for a home win, 24.9% for a draw, and 35.2% for an away win. We have slightly adjusted the home probability upward to account for the home advantage, but both teams' poor recent form keeps the match finely balanced. PFA Santa Cruz is marginally more likely to win, but the draw and an away upset are realistic outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this fixture show PFA Santa Cruz at 2.25 to win, a draw at 3.60, and Asociacion Deportiva Rosario at 2.55. These odds reflect the bookmakers' view that the home side is the favorite, though not by a wide margin. Our prediction: based on the stats, PFA Santa Cruz has a slight edge, but the match could easily end in a draw. A low-scoring affair is possible given both teams' defensive struggles and lack of consistent scoring.