Deportivo Coatepeque - Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa prediction 7 October 2026

Deportivo Coatepeque vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa prediction for the Primera Division match on Oct 7, 2026, at 20:00. Our analysis gives Deportivo Coatepeque a 58% win probability, with the draw at 25% and Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa at 17%. Read on for betting tips, odds, and team form.

Team Form

Deportivo Coatepeque

Deportivo Coatepeque's last five matches: W, W, L, W, D. They won 3-0 away at Deportivo Amatitlan on Oct 4, beat Quiche FC 1-0 at home on Sep 30, lost 1-2 at home to Chichicasteco FC on Sep 20, defeated Deportivo Gomera 2-1 at home on Aug 30, and drew 1-1 away at Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa on Aug 19. That's three wins, one draw, one loss, with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded.

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa's recent form: D, L, D, W, D. They drew 0-0 at home against Aguacatan on Oct 4, lost 0-2 away at Deportivo Amatitlan on Sep 30, drew 1-1 at home with CD Huehueteco Xinabajul on Sep 27, beat Juventud Copalera 1-0 at home on Sep 6, and drew 1-1 at home with Deportivo Coatepeque on Aug 19. Only one win in five, with three draws, scoring just 3 goals and conceding 4.

Head-to-Head Record

The only recent meeting between these sides was a 1-1 draw on Aug 19, 2026, at Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa's ground. There is no historical advantage for either team.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Coatepeque sits 4th in the Primera Division overall standings with 29 points from 18 matches (9 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses). Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa is outside the top 10. At home, Deportivo Coatepeque is 2nd in the league with 8 wins and 1 loss in 9 games, scoring 20 goals and conceding only 3. Their away form is much weaker (1 win, 2 draws, 6 losses), but they are the home side here. Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa's away record is not among the top 8, indicating struggles on the road.

Win Probability: Deportivo Coatepeque or Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Deportivo Coatepeque has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa has a 17% chance. The bookmakers' odds implied a 55% home win probability, but Deportivo Coatepeque's excellent home record (8 wins in 9) and Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa's lack of away success push the home win probability higher. Deportivo Coatepeque is the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: Deportivo Coatepeque win at 1.65, draw at 3.50, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa win at 4.75. Bookmakers see the home side as strong favorites. Our prediction: Deportivo Coatepeque to win. Given their solid home defense and Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa's low-scoring form, a 2-0 or 1-0 home victory is likely. However, the draw cannot be ruled out if the visitors manage to keep it tight.