Santos Laguna Women - Puebla Women prediction 3 October 2026

The Santos Laguna Women vs Puebla Women prediction comes from the Liga MX Women, with the match scheduled for Oct 3 at 00:00. According to our analysis, Santos Laguna Women enter this fixture as the clear favorites with a 60% win probability, while Puebla Women have just a 15% chance of pulling off an away upset. The draw sits at 25%, reflecting the low likelihood of a stalemate.

Team Form

Santos Laguna Women have been inconsistent but show strength at home. Their last five matches in all competitions produced three wins and two defeats:

• Sep 27: Pachuca Women 4-1 Santos Laguna Women (L)
• Sep 22: Santos Laguna Women 2-0 Cruz Azul Women (W)
• Sep 14: Atletico San Luis Women 2-3 Santos Laguna Women (W)
• Sep 7: Tigres UANL Women 3-0 Santos Laguna Women (L)
• Sep 1: Santos Laguna Women 1-0 Atlante FC Women (W)

The home victories against Cruz Azul and Atlante highlight their ability to control games at their own ground. Santos have kept two clean sheets in those home wins.

Puebla Women are in terrible form, with four losses in their last five outings. Their only bright spot was a home win against Club Necaxa:

• Sep 27: Puebla Women 1-2 Monterrey Women (L)
• Sep 20: Unam Pumas Women 2-0 Puebla Women (L)
• Sep 13: Puebla Women 2-6 Queretaro Women (L)
• Sep 8: Club Leon Women 5-2 Puebla Women (L)
• Aug 30: Puebla Women 4-1 Club Necaxa Women (W)

Away from home, Puebla have been particularly vulnerable, conceding seven goals in their last two road matches without scoring. This leaky defense will be a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between Santos Laguna Women and Puebla Women all ended in home wins, emphasizing the advantage of playing on familiar turf. The head-to-head record shows 1 win for Santos Laguna Women, 0 draws, and 2 wins for Puebla Women:

• Feb 6, 2026: Puebla Women 2-0 Santos Laguna Women
• Sep 30, 2025: Santos Laguna Women 1-0 Puebla Women
• Mar 23, 2025: Puebla Women 2-1 Santos Laguna Women

The only clash at this venue resulted in a 1-0 victory for the home side, which bodes well for Santos’ chances here. Goals have been relatively low in this fixture, with two of the three matches featuring under 2.5 total goals.

League Table Positions

Santos Laguna Women sit 11th in the Liga MX Women overall table with 12 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 5 losses). They have scored 12 goals and conceded 20, highlighting defensive frailties but also their capability to grind out results. Puebla Women are outside the top 12 in the league standings, reflecting their poor season. Although exact figures for Puebla aren’t listed, their recent form suggests they are near the bottom of the table and will struggle to climb away from the relegation zone.

Win Probability: Santos Laguna Women or Puebla Women?

Based on the available data — recent form, head-to-head history, league positions, and home advantage — we calculate the following outcome probabilities for this match:

• Santos Laguna Women win: 60%
• Draw: 25%
• Puebla Women win: 15%

Santos have won both of their recent home games, while Puebla have lost four consecutive away matches by a combined score of 10-2. H2H record reinforces the home dominance, with the home team winning every encounter in this series. These factors give Santos a substantial edge. The probability of a draw is kept at 25% because both sides have rarely shared the points in recent history, yet a closely fought contest cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the moment, no bookmaker odds are available for this Liga MX Women fixture. Without market numbers, the prediction relies entirely on statistical indicators. Considering Santos Laguna Women’s solid home performances and Puebla Women’s abysmal away record, the most likely outcome is a home win. A correct score bet of 1-0 or 2-0 to Santos mirrors the historical pattern of tight, low-scoring home victories in this matchup. Punters looking for betting tips can back the home team to win, although waiting for official odds to confirm the value is advisable.