Remo PA - Santos SP prediction 19 September 2026

The Remo PA vs Santos SP prediction for September 19, 2026, points to an away victory for Santos SP, who hold a 45% win probability. This Serie A match at Estádio Evandro Almeida in Belem kicks off at 21:30 local time, and with Remo PA struggling for form, the visitors are clear favorites to take all three points.

Team Form

Remo PA come into this match in poor shape, with their last five results reading L, L, L, D, D. They suffered a 0-1 home loss to Flamengo RJ, a 2-3 home defeat to Coritiba PR, and a 1-2 away loss at Fluminense RJ. Draws against Internacional RS (1-1 away) and Atletico Mineiro MG (2-2 home) did little to lift morale. Over these five matches, Remo PA scored 6 goals and conceded 9, failing to win any of them.

Santos SP, on the other hand, are flying high with a W, W, W, D, W sequence. They beat Cruzeiro MG 2-1 at home, Atletico Mineiro MG 2-0 in the Copa Sudamericana, and Internacional RS 3-2 away in the league. A 0-0 cup draw with Palmeiras SP was followed by a 1-0 away win at Corinthians SP. With four wins in five, Santos SP have scored 8 goals and conceded only 3, showing excellent form especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Santos SP. In the last three meetings, Remo PA have failed to win (0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The most recent clash on August 5, 2026, in the Cup saw Santos SP win 1-0 at Remo PA. Earlier, on August 2, 2026, the teams drew 0-0 at Santos SP, and on April 2, 2026, Santos SP won 2-0 at home in the Serie A. Remo PA have not scored in two of those three matches, underlining their attacking struggles against this opponent.

League Table Positions

Neither Remo PA nor Santos SP feature in the top 12 of the overall Serie A standings, indicating both are in the lower half of the table. Remo PA are absent from the top 8 home teams list, reflecting their struggles at Estádio Evandro Almeida. Santos SP are not among the top 8 away sides, but their recent away results (three wins in the last four away matches) suggest they are performing above that standing. The league data confirms that both teams are likely battling in the bottom half, but current momentum separates them.

Win Probability: Remo PA or Santos SP?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities: Remo PA – 25%, Draw – 30%, Santos SP – 45%. Bookmakers’ average odds implied a draw as the most likely outcome (around 40%), but Santos SP’s dominant form and H2H record shift the balance. The visitors have a clear edge, with a win probability nearly double that of the home side. The adjustment reflects Santos SP’s four wins in five matches and Remo PA’s ongoing winless streak.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Remo PA win at 2.62, draw at 2.08, and Santos SP win at 2.85. These prices reflect the bookmakers’ view that a draw is the most probable result. However, our betting tips align with the statistical analysis: Santos SP to win. Based on the stats, the value lies with the away side, given their superior form and Remo PA’s winless run. A straight away win is the recommended pick for this Serie A encounter.