Sao Bernardo SP - Vila Nova GO prediction 24 October 2026
Sao Bernardo SP
Vila Nova GOSao Bernardo SPVila Nova GOSao Bernardo SP
Criciuma SCJuventude RSSao Bernardo SPSport Recife PESao Bernardo SPSao Bernardo SPCRB ALGremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SPSao Bernardo SPAtletico Goianiense GOAmerica Mineiro MGSao Bernardo SPSao Bernardo SPLondrina PRPonte Preta SPSao Bernardo SPGoias GOSao Bernardo SPSao Bernardo SPNautico PEFortaleza CESao Bernardo SPSao Bernardo SPBotafogo SPOperario PRSao Bernardo SPSao Bernardo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOGremio Novorizontino SPNautico PEVila Nova GOVila Nova GOCuiaba MTBotafogo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOLondrina PRVila Nova GOAmerica Mineiro MGAvai SCVila Nova GOVila Nova GOGoias GOAthletic Club MGVila Nova GOVila Nova GOCeara CEOperario PRVila Nova GOVila Nova GOPonte Preta SPAtletico Goianiense GOVila Nova GOVila Nova GOSport Recife PESao Bernardo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOSao Bernardo SP| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gremio Novorizontino SP | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 | Vila Nova GO | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza CE | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 |
| 5 |  Criciuma SC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife PE | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias GO | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba MT | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico PE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara CE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina PR | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta SP | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 |
Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO Prediction (Oct 24)
Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO prediction for the Serie B match on October 24, 2026, at 20:30. Based on our analysis, Vila Nova GO is the favorite with a 38% win probability, while the draw is at 34% and Sao Bernardo SP at 28%.
Team Form
Sao Bernardo SP's last five matches: L, D, L, W, D. They lost 0-1 at home to Criciuma SC, drew 2-2 away at Juventude RS, lost 1-2 away at Sport Recife PE, beat CRB AL 3-1 at home, and drew 0-0 away at Gremio Novorizontino SP. Just one win in that run.
Vila Nova GO's last five: D, W, D, W, W. They drew 2-2 at home with Gremio Novorizontino SP, won 2-0 away at Nautico PE, drew 0-0 at home with Cuiaba MT, won 1-0 away at Botafogo SP, and beat Londrina PR 2-0 at home. Unbeaten in five, with three wins.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met once before, on July 6, 2026, in Serie B. Vila Nova GO won 2-1 at home. Sao Bernardo SP has never beaten Vila Nova GO (0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss).
League Table Positions
Vila Nova GO sits 1st in the Serie B table with 61 points from 33 matches (18 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). Sao Bernardo SP is 12th with 46 points (12 wins, 10 draws, 11 losses). The 15-point gap highlights the visitors' stronger campaign. Notably, Sao Bernardo SP has the best away record in the league (8 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses), but their home form is modest: 4 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses. Vila Nova GO's away record is 6 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses.
Win Probability: Sao Bernardo SP or Vila Nova GO?
We calculate the outcome probabilities as: Sao Bernardo SP win โ 28%, Draw โ 34%, Vila Nova GO win โ 38%. Bookmakers' average odds (home 2.70, draw 2.24, away 2.92) imply a tight contest with a slight draw bias. However, we adjust for Vila Nova GO's superior recent form (unbeaten in five), their head-to-head win, and a 15-point lead in the standings. Sao Bernardo SP's poor home record (4-6-6) further reduces their chances. The draw remains a strong possibility given the odds and Sao Bernardo SP's tendency to share points at home.
Odds & Match Prediction
Pre-match odds from multiple bookmakers show a close match. The best available odds are around 2.62 for a home win, 2.00 for the draw, and 3.10 for an away win. The low draw odds reflect the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, Vila Nova GO is the more likely winner, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. Our prediction: Vila Nova GO to win or draw, with a 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline likely.
Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO โ FAQ
- Who will win Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO?
- Vila Nova GO has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 34%, and Sao Bernardo SP has a 28% chance. Vila Nova GO is the favorite based on their league-leading form and head-to-head advantage.
- What is the win probability for Vila Nova GO?
- Vila Nova GO's win probability is 38%. This is driven by their 1st-place position in Serie B, an unbeaten run of five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), and a 2-1 victory in the only previous meeting.
- When is the Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO match?
- The match is on October 24, 2026, at 20:30 local time. It is a Serie B fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre-match odds vary across bookmakers. The average odds are 2.70 for a Sao Bernardo SP win, 2.24 for a draw, and 2.92 for a Vila Nova GO win. Some books offer a draw as low as 2.00.