Sariyer - Bodrumspor prediction 13 October 2026

Our Sariyer vs Bodrumspor prediction is set for October 13, 2026, in the Turkish 1st League. Based on the stats, Sariyer enters this match as the favorite, and we give them a 53% win probability against Bodrumspor's 24% chance.

Team Form

Sariyer's recent form across their last five matches reads D, W, D, L, W. They are coming off a 1-1 draw away to Umraniyespor on October 9, 2026. Before that, they secured a 2-1 home win against Boluspor and a 1-1 home draw with Bandirmaspor. Their form has been steady, if unspectacular, picking up points in four of their last five outings.

Bodrumspor's form over the same period is L, D, W, L, D. They suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Ankara Keciorengucu on October 9, 2026, which halted any momentum. Their only win in this run was an impressive 4-0 home victory over Batman Petrolspor, but they have failed to score in two of their last three matches, which is a concern ahead of this trip.

Head-to-Head Record

History strongly favors Sariyer in this fixture. In the 10 previous head-to-head meetings, Sariyer has won 8 times, while Bodrumspor has managed just 2 victories. There have been no draws. The most recent clash was on May 2, 2026, where Sariyer won 1-0 away at Bodrumspor. The match before that, on December 27, 2025, also ended in a 1-0 win for Sariyer. This consistent one-goal margin highlights Sariyer's ability to control games against this opponent.

League Table Positions

In the overall 1st League standings, Sariyer sits in 8th place with 15 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Bodrumspor is not listed in the provided top segment of the league table, indicating a lower position. Sariyer's home form is particularly strong; they rank 2nd in the home table with 10 points from 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and a solid goal difference of +4. This home advantage is a significant factor for the upcoming match.

Win Probability: Sariyer or Bodrumspor?

Calculating the win probability involves analyzing the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions. The bookmaker odds average around 2.01 for a Sariyer win, 2.59 for a draw, and 3.73 for a Bodrumspor win. Removing the margin gives a baseline probability. When we adjust these figures for Sariyer's dominant H2H record (8 wins in 10 meetings), their superior home form, and Bodrumspor's recent struggles, the final outcome percentages are clear. Sariyer has a 53% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Bodrumspor has a 24% chance. The numbers strongly point towards a home victory being the most likely result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Sariyer as the clear favorite for this 1st League fixture. The best available odds for a home win are around 2.10, while a draw can be backed at 3.38, and an away win for Bodrumspor is priced as high as 3.90. These odds reflect the expectation of a competitive match but with a likely home winner. Based on the stats, head-to-head dominance, and the win probability analysis, our final Sariyer vs Bodrumspor prediction is a win for the home side, with a low-scoring game possible given the history of 1-0 results between them.