Vanspor FK - Sariyer prediction 31 October 2026

Our Vanspor FK vs Sariyer prediction for the 1st League clash on Oct 31 at 10:30 is a tight contest, with bookmakers and recent form pointing toward a draw as the likeliest outcome. Vanspor FK has a 37% win probability, while Sariyer sits at 30%, and a stalemate comes in at 33%. This analysis covers team form, head-to-head, and league table positions to help you make an informed call on who will win.

Team Form

Vanspor FK's last five outings have been a rollercoaster: W, L, W, L, L. They beat Boluspor 3-0 away and Pendikspor 2-1, but fell to Umraniyespor (0-2) and Bandirmaspor (0-2) at home, and lost 3-0 at Antalyaspor. With two wins and three defeats, inconsistency is their main issue.

Sariyer's recent form reads L, D, L, D, W. Their sole victory came at home against Boluspor (2-1). Since then, they've drawn 1-1 at both Sivasspor and Umraniyespor, and suffered heavy losses: 4-1 at home to Bodrumspor and 2-0 at home to Fatih Karagumruk. The away side has managed just one win in five, struggling for defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five matchups between these sides show a balanced rivalry. Vanspor FK won once, as did Sariyer, and three games ended in draws. The most recent meeting, on Mar 22 in the 1st League, finished 0-0. Sariyer claimed a 2-1 home win on Nov 7, 2025, while Vanspor FK's 3-2 victory away in the 2 Lig in April 2023 was the other win. Two further 1-1 draws in March 2022 highlight how often these teams cancel each other out.

League Table Positions

Sariyer holds 11th place with 16 points from 12 games (4-4-4) and a goal difference of 14:17. Vanspor FK is not listed in the top 12, suggesting they sit lower in the standings. Sariyer's home form is slightly stronger (3-1-3, 6th in home table with 10 points), but they are the away side here — and their away record is not among the top 8. The rankings imply a narrow edge for Sariyer on paper, but Vanspor FK's ability to snatch away results (wins at Pendikspor and Boluspor) keeps this match finely poised.

Win Probability: Vanspor FK or Sariyer?

Based on the best available odds (home 3.35, draw 2.08, away 3.05 at one bookmaker), we inverted the odds and normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Vanspor FK's home advantage and the three draws in five H2H encounters. The resulting win probability shows Vanspor FK at 37%, a draw at 33%, and Sariyer at 30%. This makes Vanspor FK the marginal favorite, but a draw is nearly as probable — consistent with the high frequency of stalemates in their head-to-head history.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' 1X2 markets reflect the uncertainty: one set of odds quotes a home win at 3.35, a draw at a very short 2.08, and an away win at 3.05. Another bookmaker sees it slightly differently with home 2.90, draw 2.15, and away 3.10. The low draw odds confirm bookies expect a tight contest. Based on the stats, scattered Vanspor FK form, and three draws in five H2H meetings, a draw is the most sensible betting tip. Outcome probabilities: Vanspor FK 37%, Draw 33%, Sariyer 30%.