Lyn 1896 FK II - Sarpsborg 08 II prediction 21 September 2026

Lyn 1896 FK II vs Sarpsborg 08 II prediction for the Norway 3rd Division match on Sep 21, 2026 at 17:00. The bookmakers make Lyn 1896 FK II the favorite, and the win probability model gives the home side 53%, the draw 22%, and Sarpsborg 08 II 25%. This betting analysis uses only the supplied odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table data.

Team Form

Lyn 1896 FK II have been inconsistent with two wins and three losses in their last five matches: L, L, W, L, W. Their recent results include a 0-2 away defeat at Gjovik-Lyn on Sep 12, a 1-4 away defeat at Drobak/Frogn on Sep 7, a 4-3 home win against Sandefjord II on Aug 31, a 1-4 away defeat at Lillehammer on Aug 17, and a 4-3 home win against IF Fram Larvik on Aug 10.

Sarpsborg 08 II are in much stronger form with four wins from five: W, W, W, L, W. They beat Lillehammer 3-1 at home on Sep 12, won 4-3 at Orn Horten on Sep 7, beat Rade 3-2 at home on Aug 31, lost 3-0 at IF Fram Larvik on Aug 17, and thrashed Brumunddal 11-0 at home on Aug 9.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is short: these teams have met once in the supplied data. On May 19, 2026, Sarpsborg 08 II defeated Lyn 1896 FK II 6-3.

• Lyn 1896 FK II wins: 0
• Draws: 0
• Sarpsborg 08 II wins: 1

League Table Positions

The available 3rd Division standings do not include either Lyn 1896 FK II or Sarpsborg 08 II. That means no direct points gap or table position can be used for this prediction.

Win Probability: Lyn 1896 FK II or Sarpsborg 08 II?

Using the inverse of the supplied 1X2 odds and normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin gives a base of roughly 55% for a home win, 22% for the draw, and 22% for an away win. Sarpsborg 08 II's better recent form and their 6-3 win in the only head-to-head match justify a small upward adjustment for the away side.

Final outcome probabilities:

• Lyn 1896 FK II win: 53%
• Draw: 22%
• Sarpsborg 08 II win: 25%

Lyn 1896 FK II has a 53% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Sarpsborg 08 II has a 25% chance. The three probabilities total 100%.

Conclusion: Lyn 1896 FK II are the more likely winners, but Sarpsborg 08 II have a genuine away chance.

Odds & Lyn 1896 FK II vs Sarpsborg 08 II Prediction

The supplied 1X2 betting odds show home odds from 1.50 to 1.65, draw odds from 3.00 to 5.35, and away odds from 3.50 to 4.10. Bookmakers clearly see Lyn 1896 FK II as the favorite.

Betting tips: the home win is the main pick based on the odds and home advantage. However, Sarpsborg 08 II's strong attack and the previous 6-3 head-to-head result mean the away side should not be ruled out.

Final Lyn 1896 FK II vs Sarpsborg 08 II prediction: home win for Lyn 1896 FK II, with the highest probability of 53%.