Sarpsborg U19 - Odd U19 prediction 17 September 2026

Sarpsborg U19 vs Odd U19 prediction for the NM Cup U19 match on Sep 17, 2026, at 11:00. Our analysis gives Odd U19 a 35% chance of winning, Sarpsborg U19 a 30% chance, and the draw a 35% probability. This betting tip is based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Sarpsborg U19

Sarpsborg U19's last five results: D, L, D, W, L. They have managed only one win in that span, with two draws and two defeats. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 draw away at Christiania BK U19 on Sep 10. Before that, they lost 1-3 at home to Gjellerasen U19 and drew 2-2 at Stromsgodset U19. The sole victory came on Jun 17 with a 3-0 home win over KFUM Oslo U19. At home, their form is worrying: in their last three home matches, they lost twice (1-3 vs Gjellerasen, 1-3 vs Lorenskog U19) and won once (3-0 vs KFUM Oslo). They have conceded 9 goals in those three home games, highlighting defensive issues.

Odd U19

Odd U19's last five results: D, L, L, W, W. They ended a three-game winless run with back-to-back victories. On May 21, they thrashed KFUM Oslo U19 4-0 at home, and on Apr 1, they edged Sandnes Ulf U19 3-2. However, their away form is a concern: their only away match in this sequence was a 1-5 defeat at Ham-Kam U19 on Aug 5. They also lost 2-5 at home to Ham-Kam U19 earlier, indicating defensive frailties. Overall, Odd U19 have scored 12 goals in their last five but conceded 14, so matches involving them tend to be high-scoring.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, with one win each and no draws. The most recent encounter was on Feb 15, 2026, when Sarpsborg U19 won 5-4 away at Odd U19 in the Championship U19. The other meeting, back in September 2019, saw Odd U19 triumph 3-0 at home in the NM Cup U19. So the H2H record is perfectly balanced, with both teams capable of scoring goals against each other.

League Table Positions

In the provided league standings, Sarpsborg U19 appears in the away table at 6th place with 6 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 loss). Odd U19 is not listed in these standings, so a direct league comparison is not possible. The data likely comes from a different U19 competition, so it offers limited insight for this NM Cup U19 fixture.

Win Probability: Sarpsborg U19 or Odd U19?

Based on the odds and recent performances, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Sarpsborg U19 30%, draw 35%, Odd U19 35%. The bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.88, draw 2.88, away 2.38) implied a 37.7% chance for Odd U19 after removing the margin. However, factoring in Sarpsborg's poor home form and Odd's inconsistent away record, we have adjusted the probabilities to reflect a more balanced contest with a high likelihood of a draw. Overall, Odd U19 is slightly more likely to win, but the match is too close to call with confidence. The high draw probability suggests that this Sarpsborg U19 vs Odd U19 prediction leans towards a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current odds are: Sarpsborg U19 win 2.88, draw 2.88, Odd U19 win 2.38. Bookmakers see Odd U19 as the favorite. Our prediction: this NM Cup U19 fixture is set to be a tight affair. Given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and the even head-to-head, a draw is a very realistic outcome. For betting tips, the draw odds of 2.88 offer value, but Odd U19's slight edge might just see them through. With both teams involved in high-scoring matches recently (Sarpsborg's last five averaged 4.2 goals, Odd's 5.2), the over 2.5 goals market could also be worth considering. We recommend a cautious approach and suggest waiting for the confirmed lineups before placing any bets.