Sarpsborg U19 - Valdres FK U19 prediction 17 September 2026

Sarpsborg U19 vs Valdres FK U19 prediction for the NM Cup U19 clash on Sep 17, 2026, at 18:15. Bookmakers have installed Valdres FK U19 as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Sarpsborg U19 holds a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Sarpsborg U19 enter this cup tie with a mixed recent record in the NM Cup U19. Their last five results read: L, D, L, D, W. They suffered a heavy 3-6 home loss to Odd U19 on Sep 17, followed by a 3-3 away draw at Christiania BK U19 on Sep 10. Earlier, they fell 1-3 at home to Gjellerasen U19 (Aug 20), drew 2-2 away at Stromsgodset U19 (Aug 13), and beat KFUM Oslo U19 3-0 at home (Jun 17). The team has scored in all five matches but kept only one clean sheet.

Valdres FK U19 have only two recent results, both defeats in the Championship U19. They lost 2-4 away to Grorud U19 on Jun 11 and were crushed 1-8 away by Kjelsas IL U19 on May 7. Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding 12 goals in those two outings.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Sarpsborg U19 and Valdres FK U19. This will be the first head-to-head encounter.

League Table Positions

Sarpsborg U19 feature in the away standings of their league, sitting 6th with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 7 on the road. Valdres FK U19 are not listed in any of the available league tables, suggesting they compete in a lower division (Championship U19). This indicates Sarpsborg U19 likely face a step down in opposition quality.

Win Probability: Sarpsborg U19 or Valdres FK U19?

Based on the available odds, form, and league context, the win probabilities are: Sarpsborg U19 30%, draw 30%, Valdres FK U19 40%. The bookmakers' odds imply a 42.6% chance for Valdres FK U19, but we have adjusted slightly downward due to Sarpsborg U19's home advantage and Valdres FK U19's extremely poor recent defensive record. Sarpsborg U19's ability to score consistently also increases the likelihood of a draw. Overall, Valdres FK U19 remains the more probable winner, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds are: Sarpsborg U19 3.25, Draw 3.00, Valdres FK U19 2.10. Bookmakers clearly see Valdres FK U19 as the favorite. Our prediction: Valdres FK U19 to win, but with caution. Their heavy defeats in the Championship U19 raise questions, while Sarpsborg U19 have been competitive in the NM Cup U19. A draw could offer value at 3.00. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away victory, but a low-scoring draw is a realistic alternative.