Monza - Sassuolo prediction 18 September 2026
Monza
Sassuolo
TorinoMonzaMonzaCagliariLazioMonzaBrestMonzaMonzaCremoneseMonzaSassuoloLecceMonzaParmaMonzaTorinoMonzaMonzaUdineseInter MilanMonzaMonzaUS Avellino 1912MonzaPadovaMonzaAris ThessalonikiGalatasarayMonzaComo 1907SassuoloFrosinoneSassuoloSassuoloAC MilanMonzaSassuoloSassuoloJuventusBolognaSassuoloSassuoloFrosinoneSassuoloTorinoAtalantaSassuoloSassuoloCesenaAugsburgSassuoloSassuoloCelta VigoSassuoloFolgore CarateseTrento Calcio 1921SassuoloSassuoloPadovaMonzaSassuoloMonzaSassuoloSassuoloMonzaSassuoloMonzaMonzaSassuolo| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  Como 1907 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction (Sep 18)
Team Form
Monza's last five results show D-W-L-L-W. They drew 1-1 at Parma, beat Torino 1-0 in the Cup, lost 2-3 at home to Udinese, lost 1-4 at Inter Milan, and beat US Avellino 1912 3-0. That run has produced strong cup wins but only one league win in the last three Serie A games.
Sassuolo arrive with D-D-W-L-W across their last five. They drew 2-2 at Bologna, drew 1-1 at home to Frosinone in the Cup, beat Torino 2-1, lost 1-2 at Atalanta, and beat Cesena 3-0. The away form is mixed, with one league draw, one league win and one league loss in that spell.
Head-to-Head Record
Monza have a clear edge in the head-to-head record: three wins, one draw and zero Sassuolo wins in four Serie A meetings.
- Jan 28 2024: Monza 1-0 Sassuolo
- Oct 02 2023: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
- May 19 2023: Sassuolo 1-2 Monza
- Jan 22 2023: Monza 1-1 Sassuolo
League Table Positions
In the available standings, Sassuolo are 10th overall with 4 points from 3 matches: one win, one draw and one loss, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. They sit five points behind AS Roma, Inter and Lazio, who all have 9 points. Monza are not listed in the provided top 12 overall or top 8 home standings, so their exact position cannot be stated from this data.
Win Probability: Monza or Sassuolo?
The outcome probabilities are Monza win 40%, draw 28%, Sassuolo win 32%. These percentages total 100%.
The first listed 1X2 odds are Monza 2.94, draw 3.50 and Sassuolo 2.60. The normalised implied probabilities from that line are roughly 34% for Monza, 28% for the draw and 38% for Sassuolo. After adding the home edge at Stadio Brianteo and Monza's head-to-head record of three wins, one draw and zero Sassuolo wins, the model moves Monza to 40%, keeps the draw at 28%, and leaves Sassuolo at 32%. Monza are therefore the more likely winner, but the margin is not big enough for a high-confidence single outcome.
Odds & Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction
Bookmakers do not agree on a clear favourite in this market. The listed 1X2 odds range from Monza 2.50 to 2.94, draw 2.12 to 3.50, and Sassuolo 2.60 to 3.00. The first listed line is Monza 2.94, draw 3.50 and Sassuolo 2.60.
Based on the stats, the final prediction is a Monza win. Because the probability is only 40%, betting tips should favour caution: Monza on the double chance or draw no bet may be safer options than a straight win.
Monza vs Sassuolo โ FAQ
- Who will win Monza vs Sassuolo?
- Based on the supplied data, Monza have a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Sassuolo have a 32% chance. Monza are the more likely winner, but the percentages show a close match.
- What is the win probability for Monza?
- Monza have a 40% win probability in this match. This is based on the 1X2 odds, home advantage at Stadio Brianteo, and Monza's head-to-head record of three wins, one draw and zero Sassuolo wins.
- When is the Monza vs Sassuolo match?
- The match is on Sep 18 at 18:45 in Serie A, at Stadio Brianteo.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The selected 1X2 odds list Monza at 2.94, draw at 3.50 and Sassuolo at 2.60 in the first line. Other bookmaker lines range from Monza 2.50 to 2.94, draw 2.12 to 3.50, and Sassuolo 2.60 to 3.00.
- What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Sassuolo?
- Monza lead the head-to-head record with 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 Sassuolo wins in four Serie A meetings. The most recent meeting was on Jan 28 2024, when Monza won 1-0.