Uttaradit FC - Satun United prediction 15 October 2026

The Uttaradit FC vs Satun United prediction for October 15, 2026 dives into a key Division 2 matchup in Thailand. Our win probability model gives the home side Uttaradit FC a 40% chance to win, with the draw and a Satun United victory each at 30%. The match kicks off at 12:00, and while the bookmakers see a tight contest, the home team’s unbeaten form tilts the balance slightly in their favour.

Team Form

Uttaradit FC are flying high, unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws (W-W-D-W-D). In their most recent match, they claimed a 3–2 away win over Mahasarakham United. At home, they have been solid: a 4–3 victory against Chanthaburi, a 2–2 draw with Nong Bua Pitchaya, and a goalless stalemate with Muang Thong United. Key away wins include a 2–0 triumph at Kasetsart University.

Satun United have been more inconsistent, recording three wins and two losses in their last five (W-L-W-W-L). Their latest fixture ended in a 1–0 home win against KhonKaen United, but their most recent road trip saw a narrow 4–3 defeat at Nong Bua Pitchaya. Away from home this season they have one win and one loss, scoring six and conceding five.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Uttaradit FC and Satun United. The two sides are meeting for the first time, making recent form and league positioning the main references.

League Table Positions

Uttaradit FC sit top of the overall standings with 11 points from five matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), scoring 11 and conceding 7. Satun United are 4th with 9 points (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), with 12 goals for and 9 against. In the home table, Uttaradit are 8th with 5 points (1 win, 2 draws from 3 games), while Satun United are 7th in the away table with 3 points (1 win, 1 loss from 2 outings). The 2-point gap and the hosts’ unbeaten record underline their slight advantage.

Win Probability: Uttaradit FC or Satun United?

Based on the available odds, recent form, league positions, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Uttaradit FC: 40%, Draw: 30%, Satun United: 30%. The baseline implied probabilities from two leading bookmakers averaged 32.35% for a home win, 32.05% for the draw, and 35.55% for an away win. Those figures reflect a very balanced market, but we adjusted the home win upward to account for Uttaradit’s unbeaten run and the advantage of playing at home. Satun United’s away inconsistency also swayed the numbers. In conclusion, Uttaradit FC are more likely to secure all three points, but the draw and an away upset remain realistic outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a coin‑toss picture. One firm lists the 1X2 odds as home 3.00, draw 2.38, away 2.75. Another posts home 2.55, draw 3.35, away 2.30. The draw is priced shortest in the first set, while the second makes Satun United marginal favourites. These variations highlight the competitive nature of the fixture. Match prediction: based on the stats, we lean towards a narrow home victory for Uttaradit FC, though a low‑scoring draw cannot be ruled out. Punters seeking betting tips might find value in the home win at odds around 2.55–3.00, but caution is advised given the absence of H2H data and the visitors’ firepower.