Ironi Modiin - SC Ashdod prediction 24 September 2026

Ironi Modiin vs SC Ashdod prediction for the Liga Leumit match on Sep 24 at 17:00. SC Ashdod are the clear favorites with a 60% win probability, while Ironi Modiin have just a 15% chance of victory and a draw is rated at 25%.

Team Form

Ironi Modiin

Ironi Modiin's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five matches: L, L, D, D, W. They lost 3-2 to MSK Kiryat Yam, lost 4-2 to Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv, drew 0-0 with MS Kafr Qasim, drew 1-1 with Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, and won 4-1 against Hapoel Kfar Saba. They have struggled defensively, conceding 10 goals in these five games.

SC Ashdod

SC Ashdod are in outstanding form, winning all of their last five matches: W, W, W, W, W. They beat Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion 3-2, Hapoel Acre FC 4-0, Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4-0, Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1, and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-0. They have scored 14 goals and conceded only 3 in this run, showing both attacking power and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides was a Friendly Clubs match on Jul 10, 2026, where Ironi Modiin won 3-1 away at SC Ashdod. However, that was a friendly and may not reflect the current competitive form. In official Liga Leumit matches, they have not faced each other.

League Table Positions

SC Ashdod lead the Liga Leumit table with 15 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 14 goals and conceding 5. Ironi Modiin are not in the top 12 of the league standings, indicating a significant gap in performance. At home, SC Ashdod have a perfect record (3 wins from 3), while away they have 2 wins and 1 loss. Ironi Modiin's home form is not among the top 8 in the league.

Win Probability: Ironi Modiin or SC Ashdod?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Ironi Modiin 15%, draw 25%, SC Ashdod 60%. The bookmakers' odds imply a lower away win probability (around 47% after removing margin), but SC Ashdod's perfect recent form and top league position justify a higher chance. Ironi Modiin's inconsistent results and lower table standing reduce their likelihood of an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see SC Ashdod as the favorite. The best odds available: home win around 4.33, draw around 3.60, away win as low as 1.52. The average odds are 4.27 for Ironi Modiin, 2.77 for a draw, and 1.86 for SC Ashdod. Our Ironi Modiin vs SC Ashdod prediction is an away win. The team's dominant form and league position make them the most likely winner, though the odds suggest value might be limited on a straight away win. A bet on SC Ashdod to win and over 1.5 goals could be considered given their scoring record.