SC Ashdod - Maccabi Herzliya prediction 1 October 2026

The SC Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya prediction for October 1, 2026, points towards a comfortable home victory in this Liga Leumit clash. Based on the available data, SC Ashdod enters the match as the clear favorite with a calculated win probability of 62%, while Maccabi Herzliya faces an uphill battle at just 15%. The match kicks off at 17:00 local time.

Team Form

SC Ashdod is in scintillating form, having won their last five matches in a row. Their recent results show a dominant run: a 3-1 away win against Ironi Modiin, a 3-2 home victory over Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion, a 4-0 thrashing of Hapoel Acre FC away, a 4-0 home win against Hapoel Kfar Shalem, and a 2-1 away win at Maccabi Bnei Raina. They have scored 16 goals in these five games, conceding only 4.

Maccabi Herzliya's form is mixed, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They suffered a 1-3 home defeat to MSK Kiryat Yam, drew 1-1 away at Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv, beat MS Kafr Qasim 1-0 at home, and recorded back-to-back 0-0 and 1-1 draws against MS Kafr Qasim and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat respectively. The visitors have struggled for consistency, finding the net just 4 times in this period.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited but favors SC Ashdod. In three previous meetings, all in the League Alef, SC Ashdod has one win and two draws, remaining unbeaten against Maccabi Herzliya. The most recent encounter on December 27, 2019, ended in a 1-1 draw. The only victory came on October 15, 2018, when SC Ashdod secured a 1-0 away win.

League Table Positions

SC Ashdod sits at the top of the Liga Leumit table with 18 points from 7 matches, boasting 6 wins and just 1 loss. They have scored 17 goals and conceded only 6, giving them the joint-best defensive record in the league. At home, they have a perfect record with 3 wins from 3 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2.

Maccabi Herzliya is in 11th place with 8 points from 7 matches, having won 2, drawn 2, and lost 3. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10. Their away form is a relative bright spot, as they are unbeaten on the road with 1 win and 2 draws from 3 away games, though they have only scored 4 goals in those matches.

Win Probability: SC Ashdod or Maccabi Herzliya?

SC Ashdod has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Maccabi Herzliya has a 15% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.50, draw 2.38, away 4.40) to strip out the bookmaker margin, then adjusts for SC Ashdod's perfect five-match winning streak, their top position in the league, and Maccabi Herzliya's inconsistent form. The home advantage and the unbeaten head-to-head record further solidify SC Ashdod as the overwhelming favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see SC Ashdod as the strong favorite, with the best home win odds at 1.55 and the lowest at 1.50. The draw is priced around 2.38 to 2.50, while an away win for Maccabi Herzliya is offered at high odds between 4.40 and 5.25. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely match outcome. SC Ashdod's potent attack against a Maccabi Herzliya side that has struggled for clean sheets suggests the hosts will secure a victory.