SC Bad Sauerbrunn - Kohfidisch prediction 10 October 2026

The SC Bad Sauerbrunn vs Kohfidisch prediction for the Landesliga match on October 10, 2026, at 16:30 points to a home-favorite clash. Based on current form, head-to-head history, and league standings, SC Bad Sauerbrunn has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Kohfidisch has a 23% chance. Bookmakers also clearly see the hosts as the most likely winners.

Team Form

SC Bad Sauerbrunn enters this fixture in strong shape. Their last five results show three wins and two draws (D, W, D, W, W). Recent highlights include a dominant 5-0 home victory over Deutschkreutz on September 25 and a solid 3-0 home win against Halbturn on August 8. They have been consistently picking up points and enjoying a productive home spell.

Kohfidisch, on the contrary, is struggling. Their recent form line reads as four losses and just one win (L, L, L, L, W). The away side has suffered defeats against Klingenbach (4-1), Oberpullendorf (2-1), and a home loss to Edelserpentin (0-1). The single win came in a cup match against lower-division Sv Welgersdorf, masking a poor run in the Landesliga.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record clearly favors Kohfidisch overall: SC Bad Sauerbrunn has 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. However, the most recent meeting on April 4, 2026, was a turning point, with SC Bad Sauerbrunn winning 2-0 at home. Prior to that, Kohfidisch won three straight encounters, including a 3-2 victory in September 2025 and a 3-1 win in June 2023. The overall H2H suggests Kohfidisch knows how to trouble this opponent, but recent momentum has shifted.

League Table Positions

In the Landesliga overall standings, Kohfidisch sits slightly higher in 6th place with 43 points from 29 matches, while SC Bad Sauerbrunn is 11th with 39 points from 30 matches. Both teams have identical goal records of 44 scored and 43 conceded. Despite the table gap, the home/away split is more telling. Kohfidisch boasts the 2nd-best home record in the league, but as the away team here, their form drops significantly. SC Bad Sauerbrunn’s recent home resurgence is a key factor that balances the perceived table-position advantage for the visitors.

Win Probability: SC Bad Sauerbrunn or Kohfidisch?

We calculate the win probability by basing our core estimate on the inverse of the average bookmaker odds, normalizing for the margin, and then adjusting for team form and historical matchup data. The best available 1X2 odds average out to approximately 1.54 for a home win, 3.94 for the draw, and 5.40 for an away win. Stripping away the bookmaker margin leaves a baseline home probability of roughly 58%. We then apply a negative adjustment for SC Bad Sauerbrunn due to their inferior historical H2H record (1W-1D-3L) and a further small reduction for a mid-table league position, while giving a positive adjustment for their excellent current five-match streak. For Kohfidisch, we apply a negative adjustment for their dreadful recent form (four defeats in five), which offsets their slight league-table advantage and strong H2H history, resulting in a lower chance.

As a result, SC Bad Sauerbrunn has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Kohfidisch has a 23% chance. The home team is the more likely winner, but the draw is a significant secondary probability reflecting Kohfidisch's capacity to frustrate based on past encounters.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have listed odds for this Landesliga match. One bookmaker gives a home win at 1.75, a draw at 2.87, and an away win at 4.80. Another market shows an even stronger conviction in the hosts, with odds of 1.33 for SC Bad Sauerbrunn, 5.00 for the draw, and 6.00 for Kohfidisch. These odds firmly state the market expectation.

Based on the stats and win probability analysis, the SC Bad Sauerbrunn vs Kohfidisch prediction is a home win. Bad Sauerbrunn's undefeated five-game run and home advantage outweigh Kohfidisch's poor away trajectory, despite the guests holding a superior all-time head-to-head record.