URA FC - SC Villa prediction 4 September 2026
URA FC
SC Villa
Blacks Power/Bukedea TCURA FCURA FCEntebbeURA FCKampala Capital City AuthorityNEC BugolobiURA FCURA FCSC VillaMaroonsURA FCBuhimba United Saints FCURA FCURA FCKampala Capital City AuthoritySC VillaURA FCURA FCCalvary FCVipers SCURA FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCMaroonsUPDF FCURA FCSC VillaMbarara City FCUganda PoliceSC VillaKataka FCSC VillaSC VillaKigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp)SC VillaExpress FCURA FCSC VillaSC VillaKitara FCMaroonsSC VillaKitara FCSC VillaSC VillaUPDF FCNEC BugolobiSC VillaSC VillaURA FCMbarara City FCSC VillaSC VillaBul FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCSC VillaURA FCURA FCSC VillaSC VillaURA FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
URA FC vs SC Villa Prediction (Sep 04)
The URA FC vs SC Villa prediction for the Premier League match on September 4, 2026, at 17:00 points to a tight contest. Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head records, SC Villa holds a slight edge with a 40% win probability, while a draw is also at 40% and URA FC has a 20% chance.
Team Form
URA FC come into this game with a mixed recent run: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away victory over Maroons on August 30. Before that, they beat Buhimba United Saints FC 3-0 away, drew 0-0 at home with Kampala Capital City Authority, lost 1-0 away to SC Villa in the Cup, and drew 1-1 at home with Calvary FC. So URA FC have won two on the bounce, both away from home.
SC Villa, on the other hand, have two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. Their latest result was a 1-1 home draw with Kitara FC on August 29. Previously, they drew 0-0 away to Maroons, lost 2-1 away to Kitara FC in the Cup, beat UPDF FC 2-1 at home, and won 4-1 away to NEC Bugolobi. The visitors are unbeaten in their last two league games but have not kept a clean sheet in three of their last five.
Head-to-Head Record
History strongly favours SC Villa. In the overall head-to-head record, URA FC have won 5 times, SC Villa have won 10, and 13 matches ended in a draw. The last five meetings underline SC Villaโs dominance: they won 1-0 at home (Cup, May 2026), 2-0 away (Cup, May 2026), 0-0 away (Cup, May 2026), 0-0 away (Premier League, Feb 2026), and 3-0 at home (Premier League, Dec 2025). URA FC have failed to score in four of those five encounters.
League Table Positions
The Premier League season is only two matchdays old. URA FC sit 5th with 3 points from one game (a 2-1 away win). SC Villa are 10th with 1 point from one game (a 1-1 home draw). Early standings show URA FC higher, but the sample size is minimal. Neither team has played extensively at home or away yet, so the table offers limited insight.
Win Probability: URA FC or SC Villa?
After normalizing the average bookmaker odds (home 3.87, draw 2.38, away 2.48) and adjusting for the head-to-head record and recent form, the calculated win probabilities are: URA FC โ 20%, draw โ 40%, SC Villa โ 40%. SC Villaโs recent H2H superiority (3 wins, 2 draws in the last five meetings) and URA FCโs struggles to score against them tip the balance. The draw probability remains high because many H2H clashes end level, and both teams have shown inconsistency in recent weeks.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see a tight match. One bookie offers odds of 4.33 for a home win, 1.91 for a draw, and 2.88 for an away win; another quotes 3.40, 2.85, and 2.08 respectively. The draw is the shortest price across the market, mirroring the high probability of a stalemate. Based on all stats, the most likely outcomes are a draw or a narrow SC Villa victory. SC Villa are the value pick to win, but the draw is a very real prospect.
URA FC vs SC Villa โ FAQ
- Who will win URA FC vs SC Villa?
- SC Villa are slightly favoured to win with a 40% chance, while a draw also has a 40% probability. URA FC have a 20% chance of winning, based on odds, head-to-head dominance by SC Villa, and recent form.
- What is the win probability for SC Villa?
- SC Villa have a 40% chance of winning the match. This is supported by their strong recent record against URA FC (three wins in the last five meetings) and bookmaker odds that imply a tight contest.
- When is the URA FC vs SC Villa match?
- The match is on September 4, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It will be played in the Uganda Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer average odds of 3.87 for a URA FC win, 2.38 for a draw, and 2.48 for an SC Villa win. The draw is the shortest price, reflecting the high probability of a stalemate.