SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 - Nikola Tesla Hamburg prediction 26 July 2026

The SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 vs Nikola Tesla Hamburg prediction for this Oberliga clash on July 26, 2026, at 13:00 points towards a home victory. Based on our win probability analysis, SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 has a 48% chance of winning, making them the favorite. The match promises to be an intriguing contest between two sides looking to start their campaign on a positive note.

Team Form

SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 enters this fixture with poor recent form, having lost four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 defeat away to Niendorfer TSV on May 12. Prior to that, they suffered a heavy 5-0 home loss to Eimsbutteler TV, a 5-3 defeat at HT 16, and an 8-0 thrashing at ETSV Hamburg. Their only win in this sequence came at home against Curslack-Neuengamme on April 19, a 2-0 victory.

Nikola Tesla Hamburg shows slightly more balanced form with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five. They are coming off a high-scoring 8-4 away win at Curslack-Neuengamme on May 15. However, they lost 2-1 at home to TuS Dassendorf and 2-1 at home to TuRa Harksheide, with a 3-2 away win at HEBC Hamburg Eimsbutteler and a 4-4 draw at TSV Sasel completing the picture.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, with SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 claiming an away victory. On March 22, 2026, they defeated Nikola Tesla Hamburg 2-1 in an Oberliga fixture. This gives the home side a psychological edge with one win and no draws or losses in the head-to-head record.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the German Oberliga. While specific league table positions and points are not available in the current data, the recent form suggests both sides were likely in the lower to mid-table regions based on their inconsistent results. SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04's defensive record is a major concern, conceding 20 goals in their last five matches.

Win Probability: SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 or Nikola Tesla Hamburg?

SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Nikola Tesla Hamburg has a 27% chance. This calculation is based on the available odds (home 1.88, draw 3.90, away 3.10), which imply probabilities of 49.5%, 23.8%, and 30.0% after normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin. We adjusted these slightly: the home win probability was nudged down due to SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04's terrible recent form, while the away win was also reduced because of their head-to-head defeat and inconsistent away performances. The draw probability was increased to reflect the volatility both teams have shown. SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 is more likely to win, primarily due to home advantage and their previous H2H victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see SC Vorwarts-Wacker 04 as the favorite with odds of 1.88 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.90, and an away win for Nikola Tesla Hamburg is at 3.10. Based on the stats, the prediction leans towards a home win, but with low confidence given the hosts' dreadful defensive form. A bet on both teams to score could also be worth considering, as Nikola Tesla Hamburg has shown they can score goals on the road, netting eight in their last away match.