Schlieren Women - Winterthur Women prediction 21 October 2026

The Schlieren Women vs Winterthur Women prediction for Oct 21, 2026, in the Switzerland League Women points to an away victory. Our win probability model gives Winterthur Women a 50% chance of winning, while Schlieren Women have just a 20% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Schlieren Women's last five results: L, W, W, W, L. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 defeat at FC Wil 1900 Women on Sep 19, 2026. Before that, they enjoyed three straight wins — a 2-0 victory at Gambarogno Women, a 7-1 thrashing of Etoile Carouge Women, and a 4-0 home win over Solothurn Women. However, a 0-5 loss at Lugano Women in November 2025 highlights their inconsistency.

Winterthur Women have been in strong form: W, W, L, W, L. They demolished FC Oerlikon Women 6-0 at home on Oct 18, 2026, and also beat Gambarogno Women 6-0 on Oct 4. Their only recent defeats were a 0-2 loss at FC Ostermundigen Women and a 1-2 loss at Sion Women. With 18 goals in their last five matches, Winterthur's attack is firing.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once in available data. On Mar 10, 2024, Winterthur Women hosted Schlieren Women and won 2-0. That single encounter gives Winterthur a clear head-to-head edge.

League Table Positions

The provided League Women standings cover the top 10 teams, with Servette FC Chenois Women leading on 22 points. Schlieren Women and Winterthur Women are not ranked in this table, so a direct positional comparison is unavailable. This suggests they are outside the top 10, but no further data is provided.

Win Probability: Schlieren Women or Winterthur Women?

To calculate the probabilities, we first took the inverse of the 1X2 odds: 1/4.33 = 23.1% for a home win, 1/2.75 = 36.4% for a draw, and 1/1.91 = 52.4% for an away win. The sum (111.9%) represents the bookmaker margin. After normalizing, the fair probabilities are approximately 20.6% home, 32.5% draw, 46.8% away. We then adjusted these based on team form and head-to-head record. Winterthur Women’s recent 6-0 victories and their 2-0 win in the only previous meeting justify a slight increase in their win probability to 50%, while Schlieren’s inconsistency and that H2H loss reduce their chances to 20%. The draw probability settles at 30%.

• Schlieren Women win: 20%
• Draw: 30%
• Winterthur Women win: 50%

Winterthur Women are the clear favorites to take all three points, despite playing away.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Winterthur Women as the favorites at 1.91 for an away win. A draw is offered at 2.75, while a Schlieren Women home victory is the outsider at 4.33. These odds reflect the gulf in perceived strength between the two sides.

Our prediction: based on the stats, Winterthur Women are the most likely winners. Their high-scoring form and past H2H success make them a solid bet, though the 30% draw probability suggests some caution. Schlieren Women will need a significant improvement to cause an upset.