Schweinfurt 05 - Ansbach prediction 13 October 2026

The Schweinfurt 05 vs Ansbach prediction for the Regionalliga match on October 13, 2026, at 18:00 points to a tight contest. Our analysis, based on recent form, head-to-head statistics, and home advantage, gives Schweinfurt 05 a 40% win probability, with the draw and an Ansbach victory both at 30%. This fixture at the Willy-Sachs-Stadion is crucial for both teams as they look to improve their league standing. League table positions are not available, but both sides will be eager to secure points in the German fourth tier.

Team Form

Schweinfurt 05 come into this match on a five-game winless run (D, L, D, L, L). Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away at Unterhaching on October 2 in the Regionalliga. Before that, they suffered a 0-3 home defeat to FV Illertissen on September 15. A 1-1 friendly draw against BSG Chemie Leipzig in June and back-to-back 3rd Liga losses to Erzgebirge Aue (2-4) and TSV Havelse (2-3) in May highlight a difficult transition from the third tier, where they competed last season. Defensively, they have conceded 12 goals in these five matches, and their attack has managed only 6 goals.

Ansbach's form is slightly better but still inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L, W, D, L, L). They lost 0-1 at home to Nurnberg II on October 10, but previously secured a 2-1 away win at Landsberg on September 26. A 1-1 draw at DJK Vilzing on September 15 and defeats to TSV Schwaben Augsburg (1-2) and Wurzburger Kickers (1-4) show that they have struggled for consistency. Ansbach have scored 5 and conceded 9 in this period, indicating problems at both ends.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Schweinfurt 05 and Ansbach spans six previous meetings. Schweinfurt 05 have won three, Ansbach one, and two ended in draws. The most recent match, on April 5, 2025, saw Ansbach claim a 2-1 away victory. Prior to that, Schweinfurt 05 had won two home games: 2-0 in October 2023 and 2-1 in April 2023. The other draw occurred in October 2022 when the teams played out a 2-2 stalemate at Ansbach. Historically, Schweinfurt 05 have had the upper hand, but Ansbach's recent win suggests the gap may be closing. In total, Schweinfurt 05 have scored 9 goals in these six matches, while Ansbach have scored 7.

Win Probability: Schweinfurt 05 or Ansbach?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities using all available data. Schweinfurt 05 has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Ansbach has a 30% chance. The home team's historical edge and home advantage are offset by their poor current form and Ansbach's recent H2H success. This match is too close to call with high confidence, but Schweinfurt 05 are slight favorites. The probability distribution reflects the balanced nature of this fixture, with no outcome exceeding 40%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available in our data. Without market odds, our prediction is purely statistical. Considering the form and H2H, a narrow Schweinfurt 05 win is the most likely single outcome, but the probabilities suggest that a draw or an away win are equally plausible. Our betting tips: a double chance on Schweinfurt 05 or draw could offer value, and given both teams' defensive struggles, over 2.5 goals might be worth considering. However, always gamble responsibly. Based on the stats, the match prediction is a 1-1 draw or a 2-1 home win, but low confidence.