Scotland - Slovenia prediction 6 October 2026
Scotland
SloveniaScotlandSlovenia
North MacedoniaScotlandScotlandSwitzerlandSloveniaScotlandScotlandBrazilScotlandMoroccoHaitiScotlandBoliviaScotlandScotlandCuracaoCote d'IvoireScotlandScotlandJapanLiechtensteinScotlandScotlandIcelandScotlandGreeceGreeceScotlandScotlandSloveniaSwitzerlandSloveniaSloveniaNorth MacedoniaSloveniaScotlandCroatiaSloveniaSloveniaCyprusMontenegroSloveniaHungarySloveniaSloveniaBosnia-HerzegovinaLuxembourgSloveniaSloveniaSlovakiaSlovakiaSloveniaAustriaSloveniaSloveniaNorwayKazakhstanSlovenia- 13J. HendryD
- 10R. ChristieM
- 6B. GilmourM
- 4L. BinksD
- 1A. GunnG
- 7J. McGinnM
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 3A. RobertsonM
- 11B. DoakM
- 19L. FergusonM
- 23S. WelshD
- 21S. Bain
- 15J. McPake
- 9K. Bowie
- 3J. Doig
- 2N. Patterson
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 5L. Graham
- 9R. Ure
- 38L. Miller
- 52Findlay Curtis
- 2A. Hickey
- 31L. Kelly
- 23ลฝ. KarniฤnikM
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 17A. MatkoF
- 19M. ZabukovnikM
- 15D. ล turmM
- 64E. JanลพaD
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 13J. OblakG
- 26D. ZecD
- 8A. ฤerinM
- 15J. BijolD
- 14T. Horvat
- 13I. Vekiฤ
- 3J. Urbanฤiฤ
- 16T. Svetlin
- 21T. Elลกnik
- 11T. Begiฤ
- 30S. Kuzmiฤ
- 29J. Balkovec
- 16V. Drkuลกiฤ
- 26M. Vidovลกek
- 4S. Lovriฤ
- 9ลฝ. Celar
ScotlandSloveniaSloveniaScotlandSloveniaScotland| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction (Oct 6)
The Scotland vs Slovenia prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on Oct 6, 2026, at Hampden Park points to a tight contest. Based on the stats, Scotland has a 40% chance of winning, while a draw is at 38% and Slovenia has a 22% chance.
Team Form
Scotland's recent form has been poor, with only one win in their last five matches (W1 D1 L3). They beat North Macedonia 2-0 away on Oct 3, but suffered heavy home defeats to Switzerland (0-3), Brazil (0-3), and Morocco (0-1). The goalless draw with Slovenia on Sep 26 was their only clean sheet in that run. At Hampden Park, Scotland have failed to score in three consecutive matches.
Slovenia's away form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five (W1 D2 L2). They lost 2-1 to Switzerland on Oct 3 and 2-1 to Croatia in June, but managed a 1-1 draw at Cyprus and a 0-0 draw against Scotland. Slovenia have scored in three of those five away games, showing they can find the net on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these teams is perfectly balanced with two draws from two meetings. The most recent clash ended 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on Sep 26, 2026. The only other encounter was a 2-2 draw in World Cup qualifying on Oct 8, 2017. Neither side has ever beaten the other.
League Table Positions
In the UEFA Nations League standings, Slovenia sits 4th in the home table with 4 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 draw). Scotland does not appear among the top-ranked teams in any table, reflecting their recent struggles. The overall league picture suggests both teams are mid-table sides, with Slovenia slightly more consistent at homeโthough this match is in Glasgow.
Win Probability: Scotland or Slovenia?
After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Scotland win 40%, draw 38%, Slovenia win 22%. The bookmakers' average odds implied a Scotland win probability of about 48%, but we have adjusted downward due to Scotland's terrible home scoring record and the history of draws between these sides. Slovenia's away resilience and Scotland's attacking woes make a stalemate highly likely.
Odds & Match Prediction
The average odds across bookmakers are: Scotland win at 1.75, draw at 2.35, and Slovenia win at 4.91. Bookmakers see Scotland as the favorite, but the low draw odds (as low as 2.02 with some bookies) signal a strong expectation of a tight match. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a draw, though Scotland could edge a narrow win if they finally break their home goal drought.
Scotland vs Slovenia โ FAQ
- Who will win Scotland vs Slovenia?
- Based on our analysis, Scotland has a 40% chance of winning, a draw has a 38% probability, and Slovenia has a 22% chance. The match is expected to be very close, with a draw being a strong possibility given the head-to-head record and Scotland's poor home form.
- What is the win probability for Scotland?
- Scotland has a 40% chance of winning according to our calculation. This is lower than the bookmakers' implied probability because Scotland have failed to score in their last three home matches and have never beaten Slovenia in two previous meetings.
- When is the Scotland vs Slovenia match?
- The match is on Oct 6, 2026, at 19:45 local time (BST). It is a UEFA Nations League fixture and will be played at Hampden Park in Glasgow.
- What are the odds for Scotland vs Slovenia?
- The average odds are: Scotland win 1.75, draw 2.35, Slovenia win 4.91. Some bookmakers offer draw odds as low as 2.02, indicating a high probability of a stalemate.
- What is the head-to-head record between Scotland and Slovenia?
- The teams have met twice, both ending in draws. The most recent was a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Nations League on Sep 26, 2026, and the other was a 2-2 draw in World Cup qualifying on Oct 8, 2017. Neither side has recorded a win.