SD Videm - SD Hajdina prediction 23 September 2026

The SD Videm vs SD Hajdina prediction points to a tight 3 SNL contest in Slovenia on Sep 23, 2026, at 16:00. Based on our analysis of odds and stats, SD Videm holds a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and SD Hajdina wins in 25% of cases. Bookmakers see the home side as a marginal favorite, but the match remains wide open.

Team Form

SD Videm's last five matches show inconsistency: a 3-3 home draw with Odranci, a 2-1 away win at NK Race, a 2-3 home loss to NK Dobrovce, a heavy 0-3 away defeat at NK Smartno 1928, and a 2-1 home victory over Fuzinar. That gives a form string of D-W-L-L-W, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. SD Hajdina’s recent form is similarly mixed: a 2-4 home loss to Fuzinar, a 3-1 home win against Ljutomer, a 1-4 away loss at NK Podvinci, a 3-2 home win over Carda Martjanci, and a 1-1 away draw at NK Race (L-W-L-W-D). Both sides show an ability to win at home but struggle for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history is completely one-sided. In all three previous meetings, SD Videm has won without reply. The latest clash on May 16, 2026, ended 2-1 to SD Videm at home. Earlier, they won 1-0 away in October 2025 and 1-0 at home in March 2025. SD Hajdina has yet to score a win or even a draw against SD Videm, with an aggregate H2H record of 3 wins for Videm, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Hajdina.

League Table Positions

In the overall 3 SNL table after six matches, SD Hajdina sits 8th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; goals 11-13). SD Videm is 10th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; goals 11-15). The gap is only one point, though Hajdina’s slightly better goal difference and two draws give them a marginal edge. The away standings show SD Hajdina without a win on the road: 2 points from three away games (0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 3 goals scored, 6 conceded).

Win Probability: SD Videm or SD Hajdina?

Using the inverse of bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for team form, head-to-head, and home/away factors, we calculate these win probabilities:
SD Videm win: 40%
Draw: 35%
SD Hajdina win: 25%

The odds implied a home win probability of about 36%, but Videm’s perfect H2H record (3-0-0) and Hajdina’s poor away form (no wins, only 2 points) push Videm’s chances slightly higher. The draw probability remains strong because both teams have shown a tendency to share points recently. The conclusion: SD Videm has the best chance to win, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers price a home win at 2.50, a draw at 2.50, and an away win at 3.25. These numbers mirror the tightness of the fixture. Our prediction agrees with the market’s cautious view: SD Videm is the likelier winner based on the stats, but the draw is a very realistic outcome. Bettors looking for value might consider the home win at 2.50, though a draw-cover bet could also be sensible in what shapes up as a low-margin fixture.