7 De Abril RJ - SE Belford Roxo RJ prediction 6 October 2026

7 De Abril RJ vs SE Belford Roxo RJ prediction for the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 match on October 6, 2026. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head record, SE Belford Roxo RJ has a 34% chance of winning, while 7 De Abril RJ has a 32% chance, and the draw is at 34%.

Team Form

7 De Abril RJ's last five matches: L, W, W, W, D. They lost 1-2 at home to league leaders Friburguense RJ on October 2, beat Campos RJ 2-1 away on September 27, defeated SE Paraty RJ 1-0 at home on September 21, won 4-1 at Barra Mansa RJ on September 14, and drew 2-2 at home with Serra Macaense FC RJ on September 7. The team has scored 10 goals in these five outings, averaging 2.0 per game, but also conceded 8.

SE Belford Roxo RJ's recent form: W, L, D, W, L. They beat Santa Cruz FC RJ 3-0 at home on October 1, lost 1-2 at home to second-placed Cardoso Moreira RJ on September 20, drew 0-0 at home with Rio de Janeiro RJ on September 6, won 4-0 away at SE Paraty RJ on August 30, and lost 1-2 at home to Goytacaz FC RJ on November 23, 2025. The away side has scored 9 goals in these five matches, conceding 4.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these teams was on September 21, 2025, in the same competition. SE Belford Roxo RJ won 3-0 away against 7 De Abril RJ. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge going into this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 standings, 7 De Abril RJ sits 6th with 10 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 10:8). SE Belford Roxo RJ is 7th with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, goals 12:6). The two teams are separated by only one point. At home, 7 De Abril RJ has 4 points from 3 games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 4:4), while SE Belford Roxo RJ has collected 5 points from 3 away matches (1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, goals 8:4). The away team's unbeaten record on the road is a key factor.

Win Probability: 7 De Abril RJ or SE Belford Roxo RJ?

We calculated win probabilities using bookmaker odds as a base, then adjusted for recent form and head-to-head results. The raw implied probabilities from two bookmakers (after removing the overround) gave ranges of 28.9%–35.3% for a home win, 27.4%–39.9% for a draw, and 31.2%–37.4% for an away win. Averaging and normalizing produced a baseline of roughly 32%–34%–34%. SE Belford Roxo's unbeaten away record (W1 D2) and the 3-0 head-to-head win tilted the final estimates slightly in their favor. The final probabilities are: 7 De Abril RJ win — 32%, draw — 34%, SE Belford Roxo RJ win — 34%. The draw is a strong possibility, but SE Belford Roxo RJ holds a narrow edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. One bookmaker prices a home win at 3.10, a draw at 2.25, and an away win at 2.88. Another lists 2.52 for a home win, 3.25 for a draw, and 2.38 for an away win. The best available odds are 3.10 for a 7 De Abril RJ victory, 3.25 for the draw, and 2.88 for a SE Belford Roxo RJ win. These odds reflect a tight contest with no clear favorite. Based on the stats, SE Belford Roxo RJ is the narrow favorite, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: SE Belford Roxo RJ to win or draw.