Denver Summit Women - Seattle Reign FC Women prediction 20 September 2026

The Denver Summit Women vs Seattle Reign FC Women prediction for the NWSL Women match on Sep 20, 2026 at 00:45 points to a home advantage. Based on our analysis, Denver Summit Women are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while a draw sits at 35% and an away win for Seattle Reign FC Women at 20%.

Team Form

Denver Summit Women come into this match with a mixed but recently strong home record. Their last five results: D, W, W, L, D. Notably, they demolished Chicago Red Stars Women 6-1 at home on Aug 30, 2026 and beat Gotham FC Women 3-0 at home on Sep 06, 2026. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 away draw at Angel City Women on Sep 12, 2026.

Seattle Reign FC Women have been in excellent form overall, with three consecutive home wins: 2-0 vs Bay FC Women, 1-0 vs San Diego Wave Women, and 1-0 vs Houston Dash Women. However, their last two away matches ended in a 1-1 draw at Kansas City Women and a 2-1 loss at Racing Louisville Women. Their last five form line reads W, W, W, D, L.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on Apr 05, 2026, in the NWSL Women. That match ended in a 0-0 draw at Seattle Reign FC Women's home. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Denver Summit Women, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Seattle Reign FC Women.

League Table Positions

In the overall NWSL Women standings, Seattle Reign FC Women sit 8th with 37 points from 23 matches, while Denver Summit Women are 10th with 31 points from the same number of games. The home/away splits reveal Seattle Reign FC Women are strong at home (4th, 23 points from 12 games) but rank 8th away (14 points from 11 games). Denver Summit Women are not in the top 8 home teams, suggesting they have been less consistent at home overall, though their recent home performances have been impressive.

Win Probability: Denver Summit Women or Seattle Reign FC Women?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Denver Summit Women have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Seattle Reign FC Women have a 20% chance. This estimation starts from the bookmaker odds (home 2.20, draw 2.40, away 4.00), which imply probabilities of 40.5%, 37.2%, and 22.3% after removing the margin. We then adjust for Denver's dominant recent home form (6-1 and 3-0 wins) and Seattle's less convincing away results (draw and loss in last two). Home advantage and the need for Seattle to travel further tilt the balance toward Denver Summit Women.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds show Denver Summit Women as the favorite: a home win is priced at 2.20, a draw at 2.40, and an away win for Seattle Reign FC Women at 4.00. Based on the stats, Denver Summit Women are the more likely winners, but the draw remains a strong possibility given the limited head-to-head history (a 0-0 draw) and Seattle's overall league position. Our prediction leans toward a home win, but cautious bettors may consider the double chance or a draw no bet market.