Chungbuk Cheongju FC - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma prediction 9 October 2026

Our Chungbuk Cheongju FC vs Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma prediction for the K-League 2 match on Oct 9, 2026, at 08:30, points to a tight contest where a draw is the most likely outcome. Based on odds, form, and league standings, the probabilities are: Chungbuk Cheongju FC win 30%, draw 40%, Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma win 30%.

Team Form

Chungbuk Cheongju FC have shown mixed form in their last five matches, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw. Their recent results are:

• Sep 20: Ansan Greeners 2-3 Chungbuk Cheongju FC (W)
• Sep 12: Chungnam Asan FC 0-1 Chungbuk Cheongju FC (W)
• Sep 4: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 0-2 Seoul E-Land (L)
• Aug 29: Hwaseong Shinwoo Electronics 2-1 Chungbuk Cheongju FC (L)
• Aug 23: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 1-1 Gyeongnam FC (D)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma have also been inconsistent, with two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five outings:

• Sep 20: Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 2-2 Hwaseong Shinwoo Electronics (D)
• Sep 13: Gyeongnam FC 1-0 Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma (L)
• Sep 6: Gimpo Citizen FC 1-2 Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma (W)
• Aug 29: Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 1-1 Seoul E-Land (D)
• Aug 22: Ansan Greeners 1-2 Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma (W)

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Chungbuk Cheongju FC and Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, as the two sides have not met previously. This will be their first encounter.

League Table Positions

In the K-League 2 standings, Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma sit 10th with 30 points from 24 matches (7 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses). Chungbuk Cheongju FC are 12th with 26 points from 25 matches (4 wins, 14 draws, 7 losses). Seongnam hold a 4-point advantage and have a game in hand. Chungbuk Cheongju FC’s home form is not among the top eight in the league, indicating struggles at home. Seongnam’s away record ranks 7th, with 15 points from 13 away games (4 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses).

Win Probability: Chungbuk Cheongju FC or Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma?

We calculated the win probabilities using average bookmaker odds as a base. The average odds are 2.58 for a home win, 2.12 for a draw, and 2.92 for an away win. The inverse of these odds gives implied probabilities of 38.8% (home), 47.2% (draw), and 34.3% (away). After normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, the fair probabilities are 32.3% for a home win, 39.3% for a draw, and 28.5% for an away win. We then adjusted these figures based on recent form and league positions. Chungbuk Cheongju FC’s poor home record and lower table position reduce their chances slightly, while Seongnam’s marginally better away form increases theirs. The final probabilities are: Chungbuk Cheongju FC win 30%, draw 40%, Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma win 30%. The draw is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a closely matched contest, with average odds of 2.58 for a Chungbuk Cheongju FC win, 2.12 for a draw, and 2.92 for a Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma win. The low odds on the draw highlight the expectation of a tight game. Based on the stats, our match prediction is a draw. However, if a winner emerges, Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma have a slight edge due to their superior league standing and away form. A low-scoring encounter is anticipated.