Our Slovenia U19 Women vs Serbia U19 Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on October 8, 2026, at 10:00 gives Serbia U19 Women a 44% chance of winning, with the draw at 24% and Slovenia U19 Women at 32%. Bookmakers also see the visitors as favorites, but Sloveniaโs strong home form in recent qualifiers makes this an intriguing contest.
Slovenia U19 Women have shown mixed results lately. In their last five matches, they recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss (W-W-W-D-L). Their most recent outing was a 1-3 friendly defeat to Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 Women on June 6, 2026, but before that they thrashed Estonia U19 Women 5-0 and San Marino U19 Women 7-1 in Euro Championship U19 Qualification matches. They also beat Cyprus U19 Women 2-0 away. Clearly, Slovenia are capable of high-scoring performances on home soil.
Serbia U19 Women, on the other hand, are struggling. Their last five results read L-L-L-D-W. They suffered three consecutive defeats in the Euro Championship U19 Qualification in April 2026: 0-3 against Iceland U19 Women, 0-1 against Finland U19 Women, and 0-1 against Denmark U19 Women. Prior to that, they drew 1-1 and won 1-0 in two friendlies against Greece U19 Women. The Serbian attack has been quiet, failing to score in three of those five games.
These two teams have met twice before, both times in Friendly International Women matches hosted by Slovenia. The most recent clash on February 26, 2025, ended in a 4-1 away win for Serbia U19 Women. The earlier meeting on October 25, 2024, finished 0-0. So Serbia remain unbeaten in this head-to-head with one win and one draw, scoring four goals and conceding just one.
Based on the latest odds (home 2.88, draw 3.75, away 2.00) and removing the bookmaker margin, the true probabilities are: Slovenia U19 Women win 32%, draw 24%, Serbia U19 Women win 44%. We have slightly adjusted these figures to account for Sloveniaโs home advantage and their explosive form in qualifiers, but Serbiaโs superior head-to-head record and the odds still point to an away victory as the most likely outcome. The probability of a draw is significant, reflecting the 0-0 stalemate in 2024.
The bookmakers have priced Serbia U19 Women as the favorites at 2.00, while a home win for Slovenia U19 Women is offered at 2.88 and the draw at 3.75. These odds imply that Serbia have a higher chance of winning, which aligns with our probability model. However, Sloveniaโs recent 5-0 and 7-1 home wins show they can be dangerous. Our Slovenia U19 Women vs Serbia U19 Women prediction is that Serbia are the more likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the away win offers value if you trust the H2H edge, but the draw at 3.75 might be worth considering given Sloveniaโs resilience at home.