Shabana FC - Kenya Police FC prediction 3 October 2026
Shabana FC
Kenya Police FC
AFC Leopards SCShabana FCShabana FCNairobi UnitedPosta RangersShabana FCShabana FCKenya Police FCPosta RangersShabana FCAFC Leopards SCShabana FCShabana FCKenya Commercial BankSofapakaShabana FCBidco UnitedShabana FCMara SugarShabana FCShabana FCUlinzi StarsShabana FCKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCShabana FCKakamega HomeboyzNairobi UnitedShabana FCKenya Police FCAFC Leopards SCMigori YouthKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCTuskerKenya Police FCKenya Police FCKakamega HomeboyzKenya Police FCKariobangi SharksNairobi UnitedKenya Police FCKenya Police FCBandariGor MahiaKenya Police FCKenya Police FCMuranga SealShabana FCKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCAFC Leopards SCKenya Police FCMathare UnitedKenya Police FCMathare UnitedKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCShabana FCKenya Police FCKenya Police FCShabana FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC Prediction (Oct 3)
The Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC prediction points to a tight Premier League contest on October 3, 2026, at 12:00. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Shabana FC enters as a narrow favorite with a 36% win probability, while Kenya Police FC holds a 31% chance and the draw sits at 33%.
Team Form
Shabana FC's last five matches show one win, three draws, and one loss. They drew 0-0 away at Posta Rangers on Sep 19, played a 0-0 draw at AFC Leopards SC on Sep 11, lost 1-2 at home to Kenya Commercial Bank on May 31, drew 1-1 at Sofapaka on May 24, and won 1-0 at Bidco United on May 17. That run includes three clean sheets and a steady defensive shape.
Kenya Police FC's recent form is winless in five outings, with four draws and one defeat. They lost 1-2 at Tusker in the Cup on Jun 14, drew 1-1 at home with Kakamega Homeboyz on May 31, drew 1-1 at home with Kariobangi Sharks on May 27, drew 0-0 at Nairobi United on May 24, and drew 0-0 at home with Bandari in the Cup on May 16. The side has struggled to turn draws into wins, scoring only two goals in those five matches.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met three times in recent seasons, with one win each and one draw. The most recent clash was a Cup tie on May 2, 2026, where Kenya Police FC won 1-0 away at Shabana FC. Before that, they played a 0-0 draw in the Premier League on Apr 25, 2026, also at Shabana. The earlier meeting on Nov 30, 2025, saw Shabana FC win 1-0 away at Kenya Police FC. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with no side holding a clear psychological edge.
League Table Positions
The Premier League standings are yet to take shape, as all teams have played zero matches and sit on zero points. Shabana FC and Kenya Police FC are level with the rest of the division, so league position offers no advantage for either side at this stage.
Win Probability: Shabana FC or Kenya Police FC?
After removing the bookmaker margin from the 1X2 odds (home 2.62, draw 2.80, away 2.70) and adjusting for recent form and home advantage, the probabilities are: Shabana FC win 36%, draw 33%, Kenya Police FC win 31%. Shabana's slightly better recent results (one win in five vs none for the visitors) and the home factor tip the balance marginally in their favor. However, the high draw likelihood reflects both teams' tendency to share pointsโShabana drew three of their last five, Kenya Police drew four of five.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Shabana FC at 2.62 to win, the draw at 2.80, and an away victory for Kenya Police FC at 2.70. These odds imply a very open contest with no clear favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Shabana FC win or a draw. A 1-0 home victory or a 1-1 scoreline would fit the recent patterns of low-scoring affairs between these sides. Kenya Police FC's inability to win in five attempts makes an away win the least probable of the three results.
Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC?
- Shabana FC has a 36% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Kenya Police FC has a 31% chance. Shabana FC is the slight favorite based on home advantage and a marginally better recent form.
- What is the win probability for Shabana FC?
- Shabana FC has a 36% probability of winning this match. This figure is derived from the betting odds (2.62 for a home win) and adjusted for their recent record of one win, three draws, and one loss in the last five outings.
- When is the Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC match?
- The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 12:00 local time. It is a Kenya Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for Shabana FC vs Kenya Police FC?
- The pre-match odds are: Shabana FC win at 2.62, draw at 2.80, and Kenya Police FC win at 2.70. These odds indicate a very evenly matched contest.
- What is the head-to-head record between Shabana FC and Kenya Police FC?
- In three previous meetings, each team has won once and one match ended in a draw. The most recent game was a 1-0 away win for Kenya Police FC in the Cup on May 2, 2026.