Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy prediction 21 September 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy prediction for the Premier League match on Sep 21, 2026. The game kicks off at 09:00, and based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Shakhtar Donetsk enters as the strong favorite with a 65% win probability. We analyze team form, H2H record, league standings, and provide our betting tips and match prediction.

Team Form

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk are in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches across all competitions. They defeated LNZ Cherkasy 3-0 on Sep 20, SC Vilkhivtsi 3-0 in the Cup, Chornomorets Odesa 2-0, and Karpaty Lviv 2-1, while drawing 1-1 with PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League. Their attack has scored 11 goals in these five games, and the defense conceded only 2.

LNZ Cherkasy

LNZ Cherkasy have struggled recently, managing just one win in their last five outings (W1 D2 L2). They lost 0-3 to Shakhtar, drew 0-0 with Bukovyna Chernivtsi in the Cup, beat FC Obolon Kyiv 3-1, drew 0-0 with Dynamo Kyiv, and lost 0-1 to Veres. With only 4 goals scored and 5 conceded in this period, their form is a concern ahead of this match.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 3, LNZ Cherkasy have won 2, and 1 match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter was on Sep 20, 2026, where Shakhtar secured a dominant 3-0 home victory. LNZ's last win over Shakhtar came in October 2025 with a surprising 4-1 away result. The overall head-to-head record shows a slight edge for Shakhtar, but LNZ have proven they can cause upsets.

League Table Positions

Shakhtar Donetsk sit 2nd in the Premier League with 15 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 12 goals and conceding 4. LNZ Cherkasy are 6th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a goal difference of 5:5. At home, Shakhtar have collected 6 points from 3 games (2W 1L), while LNZ's away record is winless: 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 3 trips. The 7-point gap and contrasting home/away performances underline Shakhtar's superiority.

Win Probability: Shakhtar Donetsk or LNZ Cherkasy?

Based on the available data — team form, head-to-head record, league standings, and home advantage — we calculate the following outcome probabilities for this match:

• Shakhtar Donetsk win: 65%
• Draw: 25%
• LNZ Cherkasy win: 10%

Shakhtar's strong recent form (4W 1D), their 3-0 victory over LNZ just a day ago, and their superior league position make them the clear favorite. LNZ's poor away form (0W 2D 1L) and overall inconsistency reduce their chances. However, the 25% draw probability reflects the fact that LNZ have held Dynamo Kyiv to a goalless draw away and can be defensively resilient. Still, Shakhtar Donetsk are the team most likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available. Given Shakhtar's dominance in the head-to-head and league standings, they would be priced as heavy favorites. Our prediction, based on the stats, is a Shakhtar Donetsk victory. For betting tips, backing a home win or over 2.5 total goals could be considered, as Shakhtar have scored at least 2 goals in four of their last five matches.