The Shan United FC vs Ezra prediction for the ASEAN Club Championship match on September 14, 2026, points to a likely home win. Shan United FC holds a 55% win probability, making them the favorites against Ezra.
Shan United FC's last five matches: L, W, D, D, W. They recently beat Myawady FC 4-0 away and drew with Yangon Royals and Yangon City. Ezra's recent form is W, L, L, W, W, including a 3-2 home win over Shan United on September 11. However, Ezra also suffered a heavy 1-6 home loss to Young Elephants FC in March.
In the last three meetings, Shan United FC won twice and Ezra once. Shan United's home win against Ezra was 1-0 in August 2025. The most recent match, just three days before this fixture, ended 3-2 in Ezra's favor. Overall head-to-head: Shan United 2 wins, Ezra 1 win, no draws.
Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:
The odds implied a home win probability of around 52.5%, but we adjusted upward due to Shan United's home advantage and better overall head-to-head record. Despite the recent loss, Shan United FC has a stronger chance to win this match.
The best odds for this match are approximately 1.70 for a Shan United FC victory, 2.85 for a draw, and 5.50 for an Ezra win. Bookmakers clearly see the home side as the favorite. Our prediction: Shan United FC to win, but with caution given the head-to-head dynamic and recent form. A bet on the home team offers value, but a draw no bet or backing Shan United to win by one goal could be safer options.