Notts County - Sheffield Wednesday prediction 20 October 2026

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction for the League 1 match on Oct 20 at 19:45 at Meadow Lane. Sheffield Wednesday are the clear favorites with a 45% win probability, while Notts County have just a 22% chance of causing an upset. The draw stands at 33%.

Team Form

Notts County come into this match with inconsistent recent results. Their last five outings have produced two wins and three losses: a 2-0 defeat at Wycombe Wanderers, a 5-1 home win over Nottingham Forest U21 in the EFL Trophy, a 2-1 home loss to Oxford United, a 2-1 home win against Grimsby Town in the EFL Trophy, and a 2-0 loss at Reading. At home, their league form has been particularly poor, with two defeats in their last three League 1 matches at Meadow Lane.

Sheffield Wednesday, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions. They recorded a 5-0 home thrashing of AFC Wimbledon, a 2-2 draw at Huddersfield Town, a 2-0 home win over Sunderland U21 in the EFL Trophy, a 2-1 victory at Salford City in the EFL Trophy, and a 0-0 home draw with Stockport County. Their away form in League 1 is strong, with three wins and one draw from four away fixtures this season.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recent head-to-head record between Notts County and Sheffield Wednesday. The available data shows zero previous meetings, making this encounter a fresh matchup with no direct historical comparison.

League Table Positions

Sheffield Wednesday sit 6th in the League 1 table with 18 points from 9 matches, having scored 20 goals and conceded only 8. Notts County are not listed in the top 12 of the standings, indicating a significantly lower position. The gap in league performance further underlines Sheffield Wednesday's superiority heading into this fixture.

Win Probability: Notts County or Sheffield Wednesday?

Based on the odds, team form, and league positions, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• Notts County win: 22%
• Draw: 33%
• Sheffield Wednesday win: 45%

The odds-derived probabilities (after removing the bookmaker margin) gave Sheffield Wednesday a 36.8% chance, the draw 36.3%, and Notts County 26.9%. However, adjusting for Sheffield Wednesday's excellent away form (W3 D1 L0 in the league) and Notts County's poor home results (two league losses in the last three at Meadow Lane) shifts the balance decisively toward the away side. The league table gap reinforces this adjustment, making Sheffield Wednesday the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match vary. The best available odds for a Notts County home win are around 3.40, the draw is priced as low as 2.18, and a Sheffield Wednesday away win can be found at 2.05. These odds reflect the market's view that Sheffield Wednesday are favorites, with the draw also considered a strong possibility.

Based on the stats, Sheffield Wednesday are the more probable winners. Their solid away record and Notts County's struggles at home point to an away victory. A draw cannot be ruled out given the odds, but the form guide strongly suggests Sheffield Wednesday will take all three points.