Hapoel Um El Fahem - Shfaram prediction 13 October 2026

The Israel Cup match between Hapoel Um El Fahem and Shfaram on October 13, 2026, at 16:30 is the focus of this Hapoel Um El Fahem vs Shfaram prediction. Based on the latest odds and team form, Hapoel Um El Fahem are the clear favorites with a 62% win probability, while Shfaram face a tough challenge at just 16%.

Team Form

Hapoel Um El Fahem are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording one win and four draws. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away at Beitar Nahariya in League Alef on October 9. Prior to that, they played out three consecutive draws: a 0-0 stalemate at home against Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on October 1, a 0-0 away draw at Tzeirey Um El Fahem on September 23, and an entertaining 3-3 home draw with Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye on September 19. The only victory in this sequence came on September 9, when they won 2-1 away at Tzeirey Tamra. The team has shown defensive solidity but struggles to turn draws into wins.

Shfaram have played three recent matches, all in the Cup. They drew 0-0 at home to Hapoel Yarka FC on September 15, 2026. Before that, they thrashed Maccabi Maghar 6-0 at home on August 28, 2026. However, their oldest recorded match in this dataset is a 2-1 away loss to Hapoel Bnei Deir Al Asad on September 6, 2025. Their form is inconsistent, with a big win followed by a goalless draw and a defeat from the previous year.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Hapoel Um El Fahem and Shfaram. The two sides have never met before, so this Cup tie will be their first encounter. The record stands at 0 wins for the home side, 0 draws, and 0 wins for the away side.

Win Probability: Hapoel Um El Fahem or Shfaram?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Hapoel Um El Fahem win – 62%
• Draw – 22%
• Shfaram win – 16%

The odds of 1.48 for a home win imply a probability of about 60.5% after removing the bookmaker margin. Hapoel Um El Fahem’s unbeaten run and the fact they are playing at home justify a slight upward adjustment to 62%. Shfaram’s mixed results and the lack of any head-to-head advantage reduce their chances. The draw probability is set at 22%, reflecting the home team’s tendency to share points in recent outings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this Cup match with Hapoel Um El Fahem as the clear favorite. The best available odds are: home win at 1.48, draw at 4.33, and away win at 4.75. These odds indicate a strong belief in a home victory. Taking into account the form guide and the win probability analysis, our Hapoel Um El Fahem vs Shfaram prediction is a home win. However, the high number of draws in Hapoel Um El Fahem’s recent record suggests that a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.