Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian K'un City prediction 6 October 2026

Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Dalian K'un City prediction for the China League One match on Oct 6 at 12:30. Based on the latest stats and odds, Shijiazhuang Gongfu are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while Dalian K'un City have a 25% chance. The match will be played at Shijiazhuang Gongfu's home ground.

Team Form

Shijiazhuang Gongfu come into this match in excellent form, having won four and drawn one of their last five league matches. They beat Meizhou Hakka 3-1 away, drew 0-0 at home with Shenzhen Juniors FC, then secured three consecutive wins: 1-0 at Guangxi Hengchen FC, 2-0 at home against Wuxi Wugou, and 2-1 at Heilongjiang Ice City FC. Over these five games, they scored 9 goals and conceded only 2, showing both attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.

Dalian K'un City's recent form is more mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five outings. They suffered a heavy 3-0 away loss to Shaanxi Union, beat Ningbo Professional FC Huilong 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Guandong GZ Power FC and 0-0 at Foshan Nanshi, and won 3-2 at home against Nantong Zhiyun. Notably, their away performances have been inconsistent, with only two wins in twelve away matches this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to three meetings, all in the China League One. Dalian K'un City have the edge with one win and two draws, while Shijiazhuang Gongfu are yet to taste victory. The most recent encounter on May 30, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw at Dalian K'un City. Earlier, on Nov 8, 2025, the teams played out a 2-2 draw at Shijiazhuang Gongfu, and on Jul 5, 2025, Dalian K'un City won 3-1 at home. These results suggest that Dalian K'un City have been a tough opponent for Shijiazhuang Gongfu historically.

League Table Positions

In the overall China League One standings, Shijiazhuang Gongfu sit 10th with 31 points from 24 matches (8 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses), while Dalian K'un City are just behind in 11th with 29 points (7 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses). The home and away splits reveal a clearer picture: Shijiazhuang Gongfu have a balanced home record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 11. Dalian K'un City's away form is poor, with only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 21. This significant disparity in away performance gives Shijiazhuang Gongfu a notable advantage for this fixture.

Win Probability: Shijiazhuang Gongfu or Dalian K'un City?

Based on the available odds and team statistics, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Shijiazhuang Gongfu have a 45% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Dalian K'un City have a 25% chance. The raw odds (home 2.30, draw 3.00, away 3.00) imply probabilities of approximately 39.5%, 30.3%, and 30.3% after removing the bookmaker margin. We adjusted these figures to reflect Shijiazhuang Gongfu's superior recent form (4 wins, 1 draw) and Dalian K'un City's struggles on the road (2 wins, 8 losses away). The head-to-head record, which favors Dalian K'un City, prevents a higher home probability, but the current momentum clearly points to a home win being the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Shijiazhuang Gongfu as the favorites, with odds ranging from 2.20 to 2.30 for a home win. The draw is offered at around 2.00 to 3.00, while an away win for Dalian K'un City is available at 3.00 to 3.60. These odds align with the league positions and home advantage. Our match prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu are the more probable winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the head-to-head history. A 1-0 or 2-1 victory for the home side seems a realistic outcome based on the stats.