Yokohama F Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse prediction 14 October 2026
Yokohama F Marinos
Shimizu S-Pulse
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Yokohama F Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction for the League Cup match on October 14, 2026. Yokohama F Marinos have a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Shimizu S-Pulse stand at 25% based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record.
Team Form
Yokohama F Marinos come into this game unbeaten in their last five matches (W3 D2). Most recently, they drew 0-0 away at Cerezo Osaka on Oct 10, before that a 2-1 away win at Montedio Yamagata in the League Cup, a 2-0 home win over Mito Hollyhock, a 1-1 draw at Machida Zelvia, and a 2-0 away win at Kashiwa Reysol.
Shimizu S-Pulse have been in excellent form with four wins in their last five (W4 L1). That run includes a 2-1 win at Mito Hollyhock, a 2-0 away victory at Zweigen Kanazawa in the League Cup, home wins over JEF United Ichihara Chiba (2-1) and Avispa Fukuoka (1-0). The only setback was a 3-1 defeat away to Kawasaki Frontale on Sep 6.
Head-to-Head Record
Yokohama F Marinos have the historical edge with 14 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats against Shimizu S-Pulse. In the last five meetings, Yokohama won three times: a 1-0 away win on Aug 15, 2026, a 3-0 home win on Jun 6, 2026, and a 3-1 away win on Aug 16, 2025. Shimizu S-Pulse won once (3-2 away in April 2025), and there was a 1-1 draw in May 2026. The most recent clash ended 1-0 to Yokohama.
Win Probability: Yokohama F Marinos or Shimizu S-Pulse?
Yokohama F Marinos have a 48% chance of winning, a draw is at 27%, and Shimizu S-Pulse have a 25% probability. These numbers are derived from bookmaker oddsโwhere the average implied probabilities were 43.1% home, 33.8% draw, and 23.2% awayโand then adjusted upwards for the home side based on their dominant H2H record, recent unbeaten form, and the advantage of playing at Nissan Stadium. The adjustment reflects that the raw odds slightly underestimate the home win likelihood.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers clearly see Yokohama F Marinos as the favorite. The best odds for a home win are around 2.10, while a draw is priced between 2.15 and 3.50, and an away win for Shimizu S-Pulse between 3.50 and 4.00. Based on the stats and probabilities, Yokohama F Marinos are the more likely winners, but the draw holds a solid 27% chance and cannot be ignored.
Yokohama F Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse โ FAQ
- Who will win Yokohama F Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
- Yokohama F Marinos have a 48% chance of winning, compared to 25% for Shimizu S-Pulse and a 27% chance of a draw. Based on current form and head-to-head record, Yokohama F Marinos are the likely winners.
- What is the win probability for Yokohama F Marinos?
- Yokohama F Marinos have a 48% win probability in this match. This is based on odds, strong home form, and a dominant head-to-head record against Shimizu S-Pulse.
- When is the Yokohama F Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse match?
- The match takes place on October 14, 2026, at 11:00 (local time). It is a League Cup fixture at Nissan Stadium in Yokohama.
- What are the odds for Yokohama F Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 1.90 to 2.10 for a Yokohama F Marinos win, 2.15 to 3.50 for a draw, and 3.50 to 4.00 for a Shimizu S-Pulse victory.
- What is the head-to-head record between Yokohama F Marinos and Shimizu S-Pulse?
- Yokohama F Marinos lead the head-to-head with 14 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats. In their last five meetings, Yokohama won three times, including a 3-0 home win in June 2026.