| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:9 | +19 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | +11 | 26 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27:9 | +18 | 25 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25:8 | +17 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 16 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 8 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 | |
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 3 |
The FC Syunik vs Shirak prediction for their Armenian Premier League clash on Oct 12 at 13:00 points to an away victory for Shirak. Based on our analysis, Shirak holds a 52% win probability against the league's bottom side, who have not won a match yet this season.
FC Syunik enter this match in poor form with a record of L, L, D, L, D from their last five games. They have lost three of those matches and struggled for goals, most recently falling 1-0 to Ararat Yerevan and 3-0 to Ararat-Armenia FC. Their last home fixture was a 0-0 draw against Pyunik Yerevan.
Shirak show a mixed recent record of L, L, W, W, L. Their last two results were defeats, including a 3-1 loss to Ararat-Armenia FC and a 2-0 loss at Pyunik Yerevan. However, they previously secured impressive winsโ4-0 away at Van Charentsavan and 2-0 at home to Sardarapat FC.
In the only previous meeting between these sides, Shirak dominated with a 5-1 away victory in the Cup on Oct 5, 2022. FC Syunik have 0 wins, Shirak have 1, and there have been 0 draws. This heavy H2H record gives the visitors a psychological edge.
FC Syunik sit bottom of the Premier League in 12th place with just 2 points from 8 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). They have scored only 3 goals while conceding 17.
Shirak are 7th with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), scoring 11 and conceding 10. Shirak's away form is solid: ranked 5th, with 7 points from 4 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), highlighting their strength on the road.
Using the inverse of the best available bookmaker odds and adjusting for current form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
The data supports Shirak as the clear favorite. The away win is justified by FC Syunik's inability to win any league match this season, their huge goal deficit, Shirak's strong away record, and the crushing 5-1 result in their only previous encounter. Therefore, Shirak has the highest chance of claiming three points.
Bookmakers see a tight contest but favor the visitors. The best odds available are Home: 3.86, Draw: 3.50, and Away: 1.90. The implied probability of the away win is clearly reflected in these short odds.
Based on the stats, our predicted outcome is a Shirak win. FC Syunik's defensive vulnerability combined with Shirak's strong head-to-head record and comfortable mid-table position makes a home upset highly unlikely. The under 2.5 goals market could also be of interest given the home side's scoring struggles.