Shrewsbury Town - Stockport County prediction 6 October 2026

Shrewsbury Town vs Stockport County prediction for the EFL Trophy match on Oct 6, 2026, at 19:00. Stockport County enters as the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Shrewsbury Town has an 18% chance and the draw sits at 32%. This betting preview covers team form, head-to-head record, win probabilities, and the latest odds.

Team Form

Shrewsbury Town's last five results: W, D, L, D, W. They have been inconsistent but picked up two wins in that run. Stockport County's form reads W, D, L, W, L, with two heavy away wins and a narrow home loss to Leicester City. Stockport plays in League 1, a division above Shrewsbury's League 2, giving them a quality advantage.

Shrewsbury Town Recent Matches

• Oct 3: Grimsby Town 1-2 Shrewsbury Town (League 2)
• Sep 26: Shrewsbury Town 2-2 Colchester United (League 2)
• Sep 22: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury Town (EFL Trophy)
• Sep 19: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Shrewsbury Town (League 2)
• Sep 12: Shrewsbury Town 2-0 Northampton Town (League 2)

Stockport County Recent Matches

• Sep 26: Stockport County 1-0 Peterborough United (League 1)
• Sep 19: Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Stockport County (League 1)
• Sep 12: Stockport County 3-4 Leicester City (League 1)
• Sep 5: Wigan Athletic 0-4 Stockport County (League 1)
• Sep 2: Luton Town 2-0 Stockport County (League 1)

Head-to-Head Record

The two teams have met twice before, with Stockport County winning both matches 1-0. The first was in the FA Trophy on Oct 18, 2022, and the second in League 1 on Jan 28, 2025. Shrewsbury Town has yet to score against Stockport. This H2H dominance adds to Stockport's advantage.

Win Probability: Shrewsbury Town or Stockport County?

Based on the average odds from five bookmakers (home 4.71, draw 2.63, away 1.86), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are: Shrewsbury Town win 18%, draw 32%, Stockport County win 50%. Adjusting for Stockport's perfect H2H record, higher league status, and recent away form (including a 4-0 win), the away win probability is reinforced. Shrewsbury's home form is decent but not enough to overcome the gap. Therefore, Stockport County is the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds from major bookmakers show Stockport County as the clear favorite at 1.86, with Shrewsbury Town at 4.71 and the draw at 2.63. One bookmaker even priced the away win as low as 1.64. These odds reflect the difference in league levels and H2H history. Our prediction: based on the stats, Stockport County to win. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline is plausible given the H2H pattern.