Shurtan Guzar - Jayhun Nukus prediction 7 October 2026

The Shurtan Guzar vs Jayhun Nukus prediction for October 7, 2026, points to a home victory in this Uzbekistan Pro League clash. Shurtan Guzar enters as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability, while Jayhun Nukus faces an uphill battle at 12%. The match kicks off at 13:00 local time.

Team Form

Shurtan Guzar comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five league games (W-W-W-L-W). Their most recent outing was a dominant 4-0 away win at Pakhtakor Tashkent II on September 21. Before that, they beat PFC Terdu 3-0 at home and thrashed Turan Yaypan 4-1 on the road. The only blip was a 3-1 loss at FarDu Fergana in late August.

Jayhun Nukus has been more inconsistent, with a form line of L-W-W-L-W across all competitions. They lost 1-0 at Metallurg Bekabad on September 20, then beat Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2-0 at home and PFC Terdu 1-0 away. A 2-0 Cup defeat at Sogdiana and a 3-1 home win over Turan Yaypan complete their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Shurtan Guzar and Jayhun Nukus. This will be the first meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can inform the prediction.

League Table Positions

Shurtan Guzar sits 3rd in the Pro League with 39 points from 19 matches (12 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 31 goals and conceded 19. Jayhun Nukus is 9th with 24 points from 20 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 10 losses), scoring 22 and conceding 25. The 15-point gap and 6-place difference underline the gulf in class.

At home, Shurtan Guzar is 4th with 20 points from 10 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Jayhun Nukus does not feature in the top 8 of the away standings, indicating a weak travelling record.

Win Probability: Shurtan Guzar or Jayhun Nukus?

Based on bookmaker odds, league positions, recent form, and home advantage, Shurtan Guzar has a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and Jayhun Nukus has a 12% chance. The odds imply a strong home bias, and Shurtan's superior league standing and 4 wins in 5 games make them the overwhelming favorite. Jayhun's inconsistent away form further reduces their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Shurtan Guzar as the clear favorite. One bookie offers odds of 1.44 for a home win, 4.20 for the draw, and 5.50 for an away win. Another is even more confident, pricing Shurtan at 1.21, the draw at 5.15, and Jayhun at 9.40. These odds translate directly into the high win probability for the home side.

Our Shurtan Guzar vs Jayhun Nukus prediction: based on the stats, Shurtan Guzar is the most likely winner. The combination of strong home form, a higher league position, and the lack of any H2H upset history points to a comfortable home victory.