Siauliai Futbolo Akademija - FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction 20 September 2026

Our Siauliai Futbolo Akademija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction for the A Lyga match on Sep 18, 2026, at 16:00 local time, strongly favors the away side. FK Kauno Zalgiris enter the contest with a 70% win probability, while struggling Siauliai have just a 10% chance of pulling off an upset. The draw sits at 20%.

Team Form

Siauliai Futbolo Akademija are in dreadful form, losing four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their only win in that stretch was a 1-0 home victory against Baltija Panevezys on Aug 17. Since then, they suffered defeats to Transinvest (3-0), Suduva Marijampole (2-1), FK Kauno Zalgiris (1-0 in the Cup), and Zalgiris Vilnius (1-0). The team has managed just 24 goals in 28 league games, highlighting their attacking struggles.

FK Kauno Zalgiris, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five outings (W3 D2). They thrashed Suduva Marijampole 5-1 at home on Sep 09, followed a 5-0 demolition of Dziugas Telsiai, and beat Siauliai 1-0 in the Cup. Their two draws came against Banga Gargzdai (0-0) and Transinvest (1-1). With 52 goals scored in 26 league matches, they possess a potent attack and a solid defense that has conceded only 17 times.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors FK Kauno Zalgiris. In 18 previous meetings, Siauliai have won just 2, with 6 draws and 10 wins for FK Kauno Zalgiris. The last five encounters underline this dominance: FK Kauno Zalgiris won four, including a 5-0 away win in March 2026 and a 4-0 away win in July 2026. The most recent clash was a 1-0 Cup victory for FK Kauno Zalgiris on Sep 3, 2026. Siauliai have failed to score in four of those five matches.

League Table Positions

Siauliai Futbolo Akademija sit 9th in the A Lyga with 17 points from 28 matches (3 wins, 8 draws, 17 losses). They have a goal difference of -32, the worst in the league. FK Kauno Zalgiris are 2nd with 48 points from 26 games (13 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses) and a +35 goal difference. Away from home, FK Kauno Zalgiris have been strong, losing just once in 11 away matches (5 wins, 5 draws). The gap in quality is stark, and Siauliai have managed only 3 league wins all season, with their home record equally disappointing.

Win Probability: Siauliai Futbolo Akademija or FK Kauno Zalgiris?

Based on the available data — team form, head-to-head record, and league standings — we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Siauliai Futbolo Akademija win: 10%
• Draw: 20%
• FK Kauno Zalgiris win: 70%

FK Kauno Zalgiris are the clear favorites. Their superior league position, dominant H2H record, and current unbeaten run make an away win the most likely outcome. Siauliai's poor form and defensive frailties (56 goals conceded) further reduce their chances. The draw probability reflects FK Kauno Zalgiris's two recent draws, but Siauliai's inability to score against them in recent meetings points to a low-scoring away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in the data, but bookmakers would undoubtedly price FK Kauno Zalgiris as heavy favorites. Considering the stats, our Siauliai Futbolo Akademija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction is an away win, likely with a clean sheet. FK Kauno Zalgiris have kept clean sheets in three of the last five H2H meetings, and Siauliai have scored just 0.86 goals per game this season. A 2-0 or 3-0 victory for the visitors seems plausible. Given the massive disparity in quality, any odds on a Siauliai win would be very long.